GBP/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-03 18:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.26 %

Entry

1.34137

Target

1.32731 +1.05 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.36369 −1.66 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 611 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 611 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.44 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Down, HMA Break Down, TEMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 17.9 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 574 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/USD

Full calendar

12:15TodayGBPBoE MPC Member Pill Speech●●○in 1h
13:30TodayUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 3h
13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.18
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.04
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.66
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.62
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.24

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal cluster on the 4H, but against a bullish higher-timeframe trend.
Watch the 1.32731 support: a break confirms the bearish move; a hold may lead to a bounce.
Resistance at 1.34191 is the key invalidation level for the sell signal.
Probability is high (87%), but trend alignment is mixed, so manage risk tightly.

The 4H chart for GBP/USD has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicator signals, including a MACD Signal Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, TEMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend, ER Level Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, HMA Break Down, and TTM TREND Trend Down. This broad alignment of momentum and trend-following indicators suggests a strong short-term bearish push, with the probability rated at 87% and strength very strong.

However, the higher timeframes are predominantly bullish, with the 4H itself showing a solid bullish trend (3/5) and the 1H, 2H, and 8H all in trend-forming bullish modes. The bearish signals are thus likely a pullback or correction within the larger uptrend. The nearest resistance at 1.34191 and support at 1.32731 define the immediate range. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the downside move.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (MACD, STOCH, SMI, TEMA) all crossed down simultaneously, signaling strong selling pressure.
▼ Trend-mode indicators (HT TRENDMODE, TTM TREND) flipped to bearish, confirming a shift in the 4H cycle.
▼ HMA Break Down and ER Level Cross Down add confluence, reinforcing the bearish case.
▼ The 4H timeframe shows a solid trend (3/5) even though it is bullish, indicating the pullback has strength.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H) are bullish, so the sell signal could be a mere correction within an uptrend.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are choppy/sideways, suggesting weak momentum that could stall the move.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 1.34191, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ The 4H trend itself is bullish, so a failure to break below 1.32731 could trigger a reversal back upward.