NZD/USD – 12H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-03 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.36 %

Entry

0.55852

Target

0.55653 +0.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.57104 −2.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 234 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 234 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.67 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 3h
13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 3h
13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.56
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.52
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.52
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.41
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.25
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.02
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.20
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	1.15
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

All major moving averages and trendlines are sloping down, confirming a strong bearish trend.
The BOP Zero Cross Down signals waning buying pressure, adding to the bearish case.
The WILLR OS Entry suggests the pair is oversold, but in a strong downtrend, this often leads to further declines rather than a reversal.
Key levels: resistance at 0.57104 and support at 0.55653—watch these for potential breakouts or bounces.

The NZD/USD 12H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing in the same direction. The BOP Zero Cross Down marks a shift in buying pressure, while the WILLR OS Entry indicates the pair is entering oversold territory—often a precursor to continued downside in a strong trend. The retreats from DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE all confirm that price is pulling back from key moving averages and trendlines, reinforcing the bearish momentum.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with the daily chart showing a solid trend (3/5) and the 12H, 8H, 4H, and 15M all in trend-forming phases. This alignment suggests the sell-off is not isolated but part of a broader downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.57104 is the level to watch for a potential bounce, while the nearest support at 0.55653 is the immediate downside target. The high probability (96%) and very strong signal strength underline the conviction behind this setup.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with the daily chart showing a solid bearish trend.
▼ A dense cluster of signals all pointing in the same direction (BOP, WILLR, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE).
▼ Price retreating from multiple moving averages and trendlines, indicating strong selling pressure.
▼ High probability (96%) and very strong signal strength.

Risk Factors

▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) could trigger a short-term bounce, especially if price approaches the support at 0.55653.
▲ The 30M, 1H, and 2H timeframes are choppy/sideways, which might slow down the bearish momentum.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.57104, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
▲ The daily trend, while solid, is only rated 3/5, leaving room for a potential reversal if the broader market sentiment shifts.