USD/CAD – 12H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-11-03 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.45 %

Entry

1.40102

Target

1.43000 +2.07 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.37593 −1.79 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 234 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 234 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.67 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Retreat Up, TSI Signal Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – vs previous candle

STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 96 % (57.34) ▼ Bearish 4 % (2.43)

model score 95.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 14.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 758 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayCADUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 6.3%Previous 6.5%in 3h
13:30TodayCADEmployment Change●●●Forecast -43.8KPrevious -68.3Kin 3h
13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.29
▲	TSI Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.27
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.15
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful cluster of bullish momentum indicators fired on the 12H chart, signaling a potential upward move.
The bullish signal is counter to the higher-timeframe trend, so it may be a corrective bounce rather than a full reversal.
Watch the 1.43000 resistance: a break above it would confirm bullish momentum, while rejection could lead to a retest of support.
The 1.37593 support is the invalidation level—if price closes below it, the bullish signal is void.

The USD/CAD 12H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, TEMA Retreat Up, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up, TSI Signal Cross Up, and TTM TREND Trend Up. This convergence suggests that buying pressure is building and that the pair is attempting to reverse the prevailing bearish bias on the higher timeframes. The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability reflect the unusually high number of corroborating indicators, which together point to a potential short-term bounce or the start of a larger correction higher.

However, the trend structure is mixed. While the 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, the 4H through 12H timeframes remain bearish, and the 1D shows a solid downtrend. This indicates that the bullish signal is counter-trend on the higher timeframes, and the move may be a corrective rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.43000 is a key hurdle; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while a failure there could see the pair resume its decline. The nearest support at 1.37593 is the critical level to watch—if the pair loses this, the bullish signal would be invalidated.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, STOCHRSI, KDJ, TSI) all crossed bullish simultaneously, indicating strong buying pressure.
▲ The TTM TREND and TEMA both turned up, confirming that the short-term trend is shifting higher.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are already bullish, providing a lower-timeframe alignment that supports the move.
▲ The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability suggest high confluence among the indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, meaning this bullish signal is counter-trend and could be a pullback within a downtrend.
▼ The 1D timeframe shows a solid downtrend, which may overpower the shorter-term bullish momentum.
▼ If price fails to break above the 1.43000 resistance, the bullish move could stall and reverse.
▼ A close below the 1.37593 support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely trigger a resumption of the downtrend.