USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 11× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.09 %
Entry
1.39979
Target
1.40206 +0.16 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.39518 −0.33 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Break Up, EMA 200 Break Up, ALMA Break Up +15 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 738 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 7h
  • TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 7h
  • TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 35%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMA 200 Break Up indicator 2.54
▲ EMA 200 Break Up indicator 2.47
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.41
▲ EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 2.36
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.34
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.33
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.31
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.29
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.28
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.27
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.27
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Breakout indicator 2.14
▲ KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout indicator 2.12
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.69
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up indicator 1.66
▲ APO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.65
▼ KDJ OB Entry indicator 1.55
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 1.20
▲ Long Line Bullish candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful bullish cluster on the 30M chart, including a Golden Cross and EMA 200 break, signals strong short-term buying momentum.
  • The nearest support at 1.39518 is the critical level to hold for the bullish scenario to remain valid.
  • Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.
  • Watch for a break below 1.39518 as the key invalidation; a hold could lead to further upside, but resistance is unclear.
The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Golden Cross on the EMA 20/50, an EMA 200 Break Up, and a suite of momentum oscillators (APO, STOCHF, WILLR) all aligning to the upside. This confluence suggests strong buying pressure at the very short-term horizon, with the price likely attempting to establish a higher low above the nearest support at 1.39518. The immediate trend is bullish across the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, though the higher timeframes (2h through 1d) remain bearish, indicating that this is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.

Traders should watch how price reacts at the 1.39518 support level. A successful hold and subsequent push higher would confirm the bullish momentum, while a break below would invalidate the signal. The strong probability (94%) and very strong signal strength suggest the move has technical momentum, but the conflict with higher timeframe trends means the upside may be limited. Key resistance is not defined, so the focus is on the support level and the ability to sustain gains above it.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals across momentum and trend indicators on the 30M timeframe.
  • ▲ Golden Cross on EMA 20/50 and EMA 200 break up indicate strong trend alignment on the short-term.
  • ▲ Bullish momentum confirmed by APO, STOCHF, and WILLR all pointing up.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength and 94% probability suggest high conviction in the move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (2H to 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the bounce.
  • ▼ The 30M and 1H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional momentum.
  • ▼ A break below the 1.39518 support would invalidate the bullish signal and could accelerate selling.
  • ▼ No defined resistance level, making profit targets uncertain and increasing the risk of a shallow rally.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 35%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-03 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 1.39518 2026-11-02
S2 1.39505 2026-11-02
S3 1.39418 2026-10-30

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