USD/CHF – 12H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-11-03 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.31 %

Entry

0.82098

Target

0.83950 +2.26 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.79494 −3.17 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 234 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 234 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.67 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +19.3 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 95 % (19.44) ▼ Bearish 5 % (0.96)

model score 95.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.7 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.6 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 761 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 3h
13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 3h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.70
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.62
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.91
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.52
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.40
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.39
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.24
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.17
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish reversal signals are firing on the 12H chart, but the broader trend is still bearish.
Key resistance at 0.83950 is the first major upside target; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case.
Support at 0.81916 is the invalidation level; a close below it would negate the bullish signals.
The bounce is likely a counter-trend move, so expect choppy price action and limited upside unless resistance is broken.

The 12H USD/CHF chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI and Williams %R exits from oversold territory, a Stochastic KD cross up, and a retreat upward from the lower Bollinger Band. In addition, the price is bouncing off the 200-period EMA and SMA, which suggests that the sell-off may be exhausting and buyers are stepping in near a key moving-average confluence. However, the broader trend context remains bearish across the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes, with trend scores of 2-3 out of 5, indicating that this is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The 15M and 30M charts are also choppy, so the immediate upside may be limited. The nearest resistance at 0.83950 is the first major hurdle; a break above it would signal a stronger reversal, while the nearest support at 0.81916 is the invalidation zone if the bounce fails.

The confluence of multiple oscillators exiting oversold conditions and the price holding above the 200-period MAs on the 12H chart points to a short-term bullish reversal attempt. The high probability (86%) and very strong signal strength reflect the alignment of these indicators, but the conflicting higher-timeframe downtrends and the choppy lower timeframes warn that this could be a corrective rally rather than a full trend reversal. Traders should watch for a sustained move above the 0.83950 resistance to confirm bullish momentum, and a close below the 0.81916 support would invalidate the setup. The 12H trend is still bearish, so any long position should be managed with tight risk controls and a clear exit plan.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of oversold oscillator exits (CCI, Williams %R, Stochastic) and a BOP zero cross up.
▲ Price retreating upward from the lower Bollinger Band and holding above the 200-period EMA and SMA.
▲ High signal probability (86%) and very strong strength indicate multiple indicators aligning in the same direction.
▲ Nearest support at 0.81916 is well below the current price, providing room for a bounce before hitting resistance.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are all bearish, suggesting the bounce may be a corrective rally within a downtrend.
▼ Lower timeframes (15M, 30M) are choppy and sideways, lacking strong momentum to sustain a rally.
▼ Resistance at 0.83950 is a nearby ceiling that could cap upside and trigger a reversal.
▼ If the price closes below 0.81916, the bullish signals are invalidated and the downtrend resumes.