USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.28 %
Entry
0.81864
Target
0.81491 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.82536 −0.82 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 12h
  • TodayUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 12h
  • TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 12h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 8%
conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 2.48
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.78
▼ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish indicator 1.78
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 1.73
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.71
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 1.65
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.35
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.24
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.23
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.19
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.15
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 0.98
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 0.85
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.75
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.65

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple overbought and momentum signals align to suggest a short-term pullback in USD/CHF.
  • Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are solidly bearish, supporting the sell signal.
  • Watch the 0.81491 support—a break could open further downside; 0.82002 is the key resistance to invalidate.
  • The 30-minute trend is still bullish, so the signal may be countertrend and require confirmation.
The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH, WILLR), plus retreats from the upper Bollinger Band and EMA 200. This points to fading upside momentum in the short term. The signal groups include both indicators and candlesticks, adding confluence to the bearish case.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish: the 15- and 30-minute timeframes are still bullish but weak, while the 1H, 2H, and 4H all show solid bearish trends. This alignment suggests the short-term bullish push is likely a countertrend move within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.82002 and nearest support at 0.81491. A break below support could confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish scenario.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) and BOP zero cross down.
  • ▼ Solid bearish trends on 1H, 2H, and 4H align with the sell direction.
  • ▼ Retreat from upper Bollinger Band and EMA 200 signals rejection at higher levels.
  • ▼ High probability score (74%) and multiple signal groups add confidence.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 30-minute and 15-minute timeframes are still bullish, which could limit downside.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 0.82002 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the overbought conditions unwind without a follow-through break below support.
  • ▲ A choppy/sideways bias on the daily chart could lead to range-bound action rather than a strong trend.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 8%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-03 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82002 2026-11-03
R2 0.82536 2026-11-02
R3 0.82555 2026-10-30
S1 0.81491 2026-11-03

Tags

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