USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-03 12:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.18 %

Entry

158.226

Target

158.517 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.789 −0.28 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CCI OB Exit, RSI OB Exit, STOCH OB Exit +2 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 12h
13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 12h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 12h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.56
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.29
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.10
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.08
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	1.98
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.67
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.31
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	1.28
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signal on 30M but weak strength and mixed signals.
Overbought exit indicators suggest a potential pullback, but Ichimoku cross supports a bounce.
Key support at 157.789; break below invalidates bullish case.
Higher timeframes are bearish, so this is a short-term counter-trend move.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is a BUY, but it is a mixed one. The signal fires on a cluster of overbought exit indicators (CCI, RSI, Stochastic, Ultimate Oscillator) and a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band, which typically suggests a pullback from overbought conditions. However, the Ichimoku TK Cross Up and the overall bullish bias across the lower timeframes (15m and 30m) point to a continuation of the uptrend after a brief consolidation. The trend is weak and choppy on higher timeframes (1H to 4H), with a bearish bias on the 8H, 12H, and 1D, so the bullish signal is primarily a short-term, counter-trend move against the larger bearish structure.

Key support is at 157.789, which is the nearest support level. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish scenario. The signal strength is weak (58% probability, weak strength), and the overbought exit signals suggest that the upside may be limited. The confluence of the Ichimoku cross and the bullish trend on the 15m and 30m timeframes provides some support for a bounce, but the overall trend alignment is not strong enough to expect a sustained move higher. Traders should watch for a pullback to support and a subsequent bullish reaction, or a break below support to confirm bearish pressure.

Catalysts

▲ Ichimoku TK Cross Up on the 30M timeframe.
▲ Bullish trend on 15M and 30M timeframes (solid on 15M).
▲ Proximity to support at 157.789 may attract buyers.
▲ Multiple overbought exit signals could trigger a short-term bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Overbought exit indicators (RSI, Stochastic, etc.) often precede a pullback, not a continuation.
▼ Weak trend scores on higher timeframes (1H to 4H) and bearish bias on 8H and above argue against sustained upside.
▼ A break below 157.789 would invalidate the bullish setup and could accelerate selling.
▼ Signal strength is weak (58%), so the probability of success is only slightly better than a coin flip.