USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-03 13:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.08 %

Entry

158.103

Target

157.752 +0.22 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.883 −0.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SAR Flip Bearish, AO Saucer Bearish, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat +10 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 16 % (4.07) ▼ Bearish 84 % (21.37)

model score 8.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 698 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 28m
15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 28m
13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 22h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.27
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.24
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.92
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.90
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.83
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.75
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.70
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.28
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.92

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30m chart, with multiple indicators flipping to sell.
Short-term trend is still bullish, but higher timeframes are bearish, creating a mixed outlook.
Key levels: resistance at 158.12700, support at 157.75200.
Watch for a break below support to confirm the bearish move.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, SAR Flip Bearish, T3 Retreat Down, and HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend, alongside a bearish AO Saucer and ER Level Cross Down. This confluence suggests a shift from bullish momentum to bearish pressure on the short-term timeframe, with the SAR flip and T3 retreat indicating a potential trend reversal. The overall signal strength is strong, with an 84% probability, pointing to a high-confidence short-term move lower.

However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 15m and 30m timeframes are still bullish, higher timeframes (1h through 4h) are choppy/sideways, and the 8h through 1d timeframes are bearish. This creates a situation where the short-term bearish signal is counter to the immediate bullish bias on lower timeframes, but aligns with the longer-term bearish outlook. The nearest resistance at 158.12700 and support at 157.75200 are key levels to watch; a break below support could confirm the bearish move, while a failure to hold below the 30m trend could see a bounce back toward resistance.

Catalysts