USD/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-03 18:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.64 %

Entry

158.718

Target

159.560 +0.53 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.962 −1.11 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 611 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 611 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.44 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout, ALMA Break Up, MAMA PRICE Break Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 3h
13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 3h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout	indicator	2.68
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.52
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.45
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	2.40
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.36
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.33
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.30
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.29
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.89
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.20
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.09
▼	RSI OB Entry	indicator	1.04

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals (RSI, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) align on the 4H chart, indicating strong upward momentum.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are strongly bullish, supporting immediate upside, while higher timeframes are bullish but choppy.
Resistance at 158.94900 is the key upside target; a break above it could open further gains.
Support at 156.96200 is the critical invalidation level; a close below it would negate the bullish setup.

The USD/JPY 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, with RSI in overbought territory yet accompanied by multiple moving-average and trendline retreats higher, plus a MAMA price break above the midpoint. This confluence suggests strong upward momentum rather than a simple overbought condition. The 15m and 30m timeframes show solid-to-very-strong bullish trends, while higher timeframes remain bullish but choppy, indicating that the immediate momentum is strong but the broader trend is still developing.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.94900 and support at 156.96200. A break above resistance would confirm continued upside, while a move below support would invalidate the bullish setup. Given the very strong signal strength and the alignment across multiple indicators, the bias is clearly bullish, but traders should remain cautious of the overbought RSI and the choppy higher-timeframe trends, which could lead to consolidation or a pullback.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple moving-average and trendline retreat signals, all pointing higher.
▲ MAMA price break above the midpoint adds a momentum breakout element.
▲ Strong trend scores on 15m and 30m timeframes confirm near-term bullish alignment.
▲ Very strong signal strength (95% probability) suggests high conviction among indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ RSI is in overbought territory, which could lead to a pullback or consolidation before further upside.
▼ Higher timeframes (2H and above) show only choppy/sideways bullish trends, limiting the strength of the broader move.
▼ A break below 156.96200 support would invalidate the bullish signal and could trigger a deeper correction.
▼ If price fails to break above 158.94900 resistance, the bullish momentum may stall, leading to range-bound action.