APT/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −5.20 %
Entry
0.6057
Target
0.5753 +5.02 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.7300 −20.52 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,979 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,979 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
31 % at target avg +2.61 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.78 % 21 % at stop avg −3.72 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, EMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
60.1 % ↑ +22.1 vs previous candle
MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +11% Swing
▲ Bullish 23 % (4.42) ▼ Bearish 77 % (14.47)
model score 76.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 8 candles
APT/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for APT/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 5h
  • TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 4h 77%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 04:03 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.93
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.45
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.42
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.19
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.16
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 2.09
▼ SAR Flip Bearish indicator 1.96
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.95
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.79
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.55
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.51
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.40
▲ DX Trend Strong indicator 1.39
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.31
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.28
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.13

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence across 17 indicators on the 4H chart, including trend, momentum, and volatility signals.
  • All timeframes are bearish, but the 1H-4H are choppy, indicating potential for short-term pullbacks within the broader downtrend.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.73000 and support at 0.57530; watch for a break below support to confirm further downside.
  • High probability (86%) and very strong signal strength suggest a high-conviction short bias.
The 4H chart for APT/USDT is flashing a very strong bearish signal, with an 86% probability and a dense cluster of 17 indicators all aligned to the downside. The confluence of DX Trend Strong, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, and SAR Flip Bearish paints a clear picture of sustained selling pressure. This is not a single indicator firing; it's a broad-based breakdown across trend, momentum, volatility, and moving averages, which significantly raises the conviction behind the move.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the strength varies. The 15m, 8h, and 12h charts show solid trends, while the 30m and 1D are forming bearish trends, but the 1H, 2H, and 4H are choppy and sideways. This mixed but overall bearish alignment suggests the downtrend is intact but may face some near-term consolidation. The nearest resistance at 0.73000 and support at 0.57530 define the immediate range; a break below support would confirm the next leg down, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Broad indicator convergence: multiple trend-following and momentum indicators all point down simultaneously.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes (15m, 8h, 12h) supports the bearish direction.
  • ▼ Breakdown below key moving averages and trendlines adds technical weight to the sell signal.
  • ▼ SAR flip to bearish confirms the shift in short-term trend momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 1H-4H timeframes could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the 0.73000 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ If the price holds above the nearest support and forms a higher low, the downtrend may stall.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the RSI or stochastic indicators show bullish divergence, signaling weakening downside pressure.
Symbol APT/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 77%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-11-04 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.73000 2026-10-28
R2 0.84580 2026-10-21
R3 0.89000 2026-10-16
S1 0.57530 2026-10-30

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