AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 02:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.77 %

Entry

109.876

Target

109.489 +0.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

110.721 −0.77 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, Stoch Hidden Bear Div, KAMA Retreat Down +17 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days
23:50November 9, 2026JPYCurrent Account n.s.a.●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.85
▼	Stoch Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.83
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.46
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.39
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.21
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.16
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.08
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.02
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.96
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	1.77
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	1.66
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.61
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	1.54
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▲	ULTOSC OS Exit	indicator	1.25
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	1.10

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple trendline and moving average breaks align on the 1H chart, reinforcing the bearish case.
Lower timeframes (15m-2H) are all bearish, but higher timeframes remain sideways—so this is a short-term downtrend.
Watch the 109.48900 support; a break could accelerate selling, while 110.72100 is the key resistance to reclaim.
The ULTOSC OS Exit suggests momentum is fading, supporting the sell signal.

The AUD/JPY 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Break Down of the HT TRENDLINE, with the ULTOSC OS Exit confirming waning upside momentum. The confluence of DEMA, EMA, and MA Break Downs, alongside KAMA and EMA 200 Retreat Downs, points to a broad-based shift in short-term structure. The 15m and 30m timeframes are already bearish, and the 1H and 2H are forming bearish trends, aligning with the sell signal. However, higher timeframes (4H through 1D) remain choppy/sideways, so the bearish move is currently a lower-timeframe event.

Key levels to monitor are resistance at 110.72100 and support at 109.48900. A sustained break below support would confirm the continuation of the downtrend, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the very strong signal strength and the broad alignment across multiple indicators, the bias is bearish, but traders should watch for any signs of stabilization near support or a bounce off the 200 EMA on higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of trendline breaks (both standard and HT) and multiple moving average breakdowns.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1H, and 2H timeframes.
▼ Very strong signal strength (96% probability) with a broad set of indicators firing.
▼ The ULTOSC OS Exit confirms a loss of upside momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H-1D) are only choppy/sideways, which could limit the follow-through.
▲ A bounce off the 109.48900 support could lead to a short squeeze back toward resistance.
▲ If price reclaims 110.72100, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade quickly given the lack of a confirmed downtrend on higher timeframes.