AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 02:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.77 %

Entry

109.876

Target

110.721 +0.77 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.308 −0.52 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ADX Trend Strong, KDJ OS Exit, HMA Retreat Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 983 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days
23:50November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.98
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.87
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.78
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.48
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.97

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
The nearest resistance at 110.72100 is the key level to watch for upside potential.
Higher timeframes are bearish or choppy, so the signal may be counter-trend.
Use tight stops and consider taking profits near resistance.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including an ADX reading indicating a strong trend, a BOP zero cross up, and exits from oversold conditions on the CMO, STOCHF, and KDJ indicators. The HMA retreat up and the ER level cross down further support a short-term upward move. However, the broader trend across timeframes remains bearish, with the 15-minute to 2-hour charts showing bearish trends and higher timeframes in choppy/sideways conditions. This suggests the bullish signals may represent a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend rather than a sustained reversal.

Key levels to monitor include the nearest resistance at 110.72100, which could cap upside moves. A break above this level would strengthen the bullish case, while a failure to hold recent lows could invalidate the signal. Given the conflicting higher timeframe trends, traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, watching for momentum to fade near resistance.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (CMO, STOCHF, KDJ) show exits from oversold conditions, indicating buying pressure.
▲ ADX shows a strong trend, which could support momentum in the direction of the signal.
▲ BOP zero cross up and HMA retreat up confirm bullish momentum on the 30-minute chart.
▲ The confluence of several indicators firing simultaneously increases the reliability of the signal.

Risk Factors

▼ The 15-minute to 2-hour trends are bearish, conflicting with the bullish signal.
▼ Higher timeframes (4H and above) are choppy/sideways, offering no trend support.
▼ The nearest resistance at 110.72100 could cap upside and trigger a reversal.
▼ If the price breaks below recent swing lows, the bullish signal would be invalidated.