AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-03 22:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.81 %

Entry

0.69616

Target

0.69361 +0.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70431 −1.17 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 2h
13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 2h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 2h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.44
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.42
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.34
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.35
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.26
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 1H, confirmed by multiple AROON and momentum signals.
Trend alignment across 15m to 4H supports the sell bias, with solid trend scores on the main timeframes.
Key resistance at 0.70431 is the invalidation level; a break above would signal a reversal.
No immediate support below, so downside potential exists but requires careful risk management.

The AUD/USD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by AROON Cross Down and AROON Strong Downtrend, which confirm a fresh or accelerating downtrend. The AROONOSC Zero Cross Down adds momentum confirmation, while BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is gaining control. The STOCHF KD Cross Down and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA) further align, showing price is pulling back from recent levels with conviction. The candlestick group adds confluence, reinforcing the bearish read.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent from 15m up to 4H, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 1H, 2H, and 4H, while longer timeframes (8H, 1D) are forming but not yet fully confirmed. This multi-timeframe alignment supports the sell signal, though the choppiness on the 15m and 12H suggests some noise. The nearest resistance at 0.70431 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. With no defined support below, the downside could be open, but traders should manage risk carefully given the lack of a clear target.

Catalysts

▼ Multi-timeframe alignment: 1H, 2H, and 4H all show solid bearish trends (3/5).
▼ High signal density: 17 signals fired, including AROON, BOP, and STOCHF crossovers, plus candlestick patterns.
▼ Very strong signal strength (96% probability) indicating high confluence.
▼ Selling pressure confirmed by BOP Zero Cross Down, suggesting real volume behind the move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe (12H) is choppy/sideways, which could limit the trend's sustainability.
▲ Nearest resistance at 0.70431 is close; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ 15m choppiness indicates short-term noise that could cause false signals.
▲ Longer timeframes (8H, 1D) are only trend-forming, so the bearish trend is not fully confirmed on higher levels.