BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-11-04 06:00 UTC 12 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

77,964.01

Target

78,878.01 +1.17 %

closes in profit

Stop

76,388.88 −2.02 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,153 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 13,153 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Break Up, SMA 200 Break Up, ALMA Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 97 % (29.22) ▼ Bearish 3 % (0.97)

model score 96.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.2 % vs 32.0 % on average · stopped out 26.8 % vs 22.7 % (crypto, 2,930 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 6h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 8h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 06:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.65
▲	SMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.61
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.30
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.07
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	MA Break Up	indicator	1.71
▲	Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.11
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	0.97

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart with 96% probability and very strong strength.
Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bullish, but higher timeframes (2h-1d) remain bearish—this is a counter-trend move.
Watch resistance at 78,063.30 and support at 76,388.88; a break above resistance could extend gains, a break below support invalidates the setup.
Momentum and trend-following indicators (StochF, EMA, DEMA, KAMA, MAMA) all align to the upside.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Stochastic Fast %K/%D cross up, multiple moving-average breaks (EMA 200, MA), and retreat-up confirmations from DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MAMA. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to strong short-term buying pressure, with the probability score at 96% and very strong strength. The bullish alignment is confirmed on the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes, all showing upward trends, while the higher timeframes (2H through 1D) remain bearish, suggesting this is a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 78,063.30 and support at 76,388.88. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish breakout and could extend the rally, while a break below support would invalidate the setup. The trend scores on the lower timeframes are still forming, so traders should monitor whether the bullish momentum can push the higher timeframes into a bullish phase. The signal time is 2026-11-04 07:00 UTC, and the cluster of indicators provides a robust short-term bullish case, but the conflicting higher-timeframe trend warrants caution.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals: StochF cross up, EMA 200 break up, and retreat-ups from DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MAMA.
▲ Bullish trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, supporting the short-term direction.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (96%) indicate robust technical momentum.
▲ Price is holding above nearest support at 76,388.88, providing a base for the rally.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 76,388.88 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Trend scores on lower timeframes are still forming (2/5), suggesting the trend is not yet fully mature.
▼ If price fails to break resistance at 78,063.30, the rally may stall and consolidate.