EUR/AUD – 1H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.13 %
Entry
1.60653
Target
1.59278 +0.86 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.62134 −0.92 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Stoch Regular Bear Div, Williams %R Regular Bear Div, Momentum Regular Bear Div +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 651 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/AUD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026EURTrade Balance●●○Forecast €17.6BPrevious €19.5Bin 2 days
  • November 11, 2026EURCPI y/y●●●in 4 days
  • November 11, 2026EURCPI m/m●●●in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 95%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Stoch Regular Bear Div divergence 3.16
▼ Williams %R Regular Bear Div divergence 2.43
▼ Momentum Regular Bear Div divergence 2.31
▼ MACD Regular Bear Div divergence 2.28
▼ RSI Regular Bear Div divergence 2.27
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.21
▼ AO Regular Bear Div divergence 2.20
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.19
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.11
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.06
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.92
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 1.88
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.86
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 1.80
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.79
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.75
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.65
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.64
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.25
▲ Bullish Meeting Lines candlestick 0.86

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • SELL signal on 1H EUR/AUD is weak (55% probability) and driven by multiple retreat signals plus a BOP zero cross up.
  • Higher timeframes (1H and above) are bullish, so the bearish signal is counter-trend and may face resistance.
  • Watch key support at 1.59278; a break below could confirm the downside, while resistance at 1.60744 is the invalidation zone.
  • Trend scores are low across all timeframes, indicating a lack of strong momentum in either direction.
The 1H EUR/AUD signal is a SELL, driven by a cluster of retreat signals across multiple indicators (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) alongside a BOP Zero Cross Up and a weak DX trend. The retreat signals suggest that price has pulled back from recent highs, while the BOP Zero Cross Up indicates a shift in buying pressure that may be losing momentum. The confluence of these signals points to a potential short-term bearish reversal, but the overall strength is weak, and the probability is only 55%, so the signal should be treated with caution.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish, with the 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H all showing bullish trend formation, albeit with weak trend scores (2/5 or 1/5). Only the 15m and 30m are bearish, and those are also weak. This creates a conflicting picture: the immediate lower timeframes support a bearish move, but the higher timeframes are still bullish, suggesting that any downside may be limited or part of a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.60744 and support at 1.59278. A break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of retreat signals across multiple indicators (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) suggests a coordinated pullback.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Up indicates a shift in buying pressure that may be losing steam, supporting a bearish move.
  • ▼ Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bearish, aligning with the 1H signal direction.
  • ▼ Proximity to resistance at 1.60744 provides a clear level where bearish pressure could intensify.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, which could override the bearish signal and lead to a bounce.
  • ▲ Weak trend scores (1-2/5) across all timeframes indicate low conviction and potential for choppy, sideways action.
  • ▲ The signal is weak (55% probability) and may be a false trigger; a move above resistance at 1.60744 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Momentum indicators (DX Trend Weak) show a lack of directional strength, so the market may consolidate rather than trend.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-03 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.60744 2026-11-03
S1 1.59278 2026-11-03
S2 1.58413 2026-11-02
S3 1.57780 2026-10-29

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