EUR/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 02:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.16 %

Entry

1.12530

Target

1.12919 +0.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11750 −0.69 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Up, MIDPRICE Break Up, ALMA Break Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

20:00TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 4h
07:00November 9, 2026EURTrade Balance●●○Forecast €17.6BPrevious €19.5Bin 2 days
18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPOINT Break Up	indicator	2.75
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	2.72
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.72
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	2.56
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.04
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.04
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.03
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.95
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.93
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.86
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	1.18
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	0.92

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on the 1H chart with 94% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple indicator groups (stochastic, Williams %R, moving averages, trendline) are aligned for a buy.
Immediate support at 1.11750 is the key invalidation level; resistance at 1.12560 is the upside target.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, so this is a counter-trend trade on the daily scale.

The EUR/USD 1H signal is firmly bullish, with a 94% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators all pointing upward. The STOCH OB Exit and STOCHF KD Cross Up confirm bullish momentum, while the WILLR OB Entry adds to the conviction. The retreats in DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, and MA all indicate that price is pulling back to dynamic support within an ongoing uptrend, suggesting a continuation setup. The confluence of these signals across multiple indicator families (stochastic, Williams %R, moving averages, and trendlines) provides a strong technical case for buying.

However, the trend structure is mixed. On the 15m and 30m timeframes, the trend is bullish and healthy, but the 1H to 8H timeframes show a bullish but choppy/sideways trend, and the 12H and 1D timeframes are bearish. This suggests that the immediate momentum is bullish, but the higher timeframe bias is against the trade. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12560, which could cap upside, and the nearest support at 1.11750, which is the invalidation level if broken. The alignment of short-term momentum with the retreat signals is supportive, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend is a risk.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of overbought and momentum signals (STOCH OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry) indicating strong bullish momentum.
▲ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) suggest price is bouncing off dynamic support in an uptrend.
▲ HT TRENDLINE retreat up adds a trendline support confluence.
▲ Short-term trend (15m, 30m) is bullish and solid, supporting the immediate move.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend (12H, 1D) is bearish, which could override the 1H bullish signal.
▼ The 1H to 8H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.11750 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The signal may be overextended after the overbought readings, risking a pullback.