EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW CLOSED

2026-11-03 22:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.45 %

Entry

1.11873

Target

1.11477 +0.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12371 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 2h
13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 2h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 2h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals align on the 30-minute chart, pointing to short-term downside.
Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are bullish but weak, creating a conflict that limits trend conviction.
Watch the 1.11750 support: a break below could accelerate selling, while a hold may trigger a bounce.
The 12h and 1d trends are bearish and strengthening, supporting the bearish case on a longer view.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA). This indicates a strong shift in intraday momentum toward the downside, with the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes all showing bearish bias, albeit choppy and sideways. The confluence of these indicators suggests that sellers are in control on the short-term horizon, and the nearest resistance at 1.12013 is likely to hold as a ceiling for any bounce attempts.

However, the higher timeframes present a conflicting picture: the 2h, 4h, and 8h charts are bullish, though also choppy and weak. This divergence means the bearish signal is primarily a short-term move, and traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained downtrend. The 12h and 1d timeframes are bearish and strengthening, which adds some weight to the downside case, but the immediate support at 1.11750 will be the first test. A break below that level could open the door for further downside, while a failure to break could lead to a bounce back toward resistance.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of bearish indicators (BOP, MACD, moving-average retreats) on the 30m chart.
▼ Bearish alignment across the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, even if choppy.
▼ The 12h and 1d timeframes show a solid bearish trend, providing a broader backdrop for selling.
▼ Probability score of 95% with 'very strong' strength suggests high signal reliability.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are bullish, which could counter the short-term bearish move.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes indicate low trend momentum, increasing the risk of false breaks.
▲ Immediate support at 1.11750 is nearby; a bounce from there could invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ A break back above the 1.12013 resistance would negate the bearish signal and signal a potential reversal.