NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-11-03 23:00 UTC 15 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %

Entry

0.55922

Target

0.56315 +0.70 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55706 −0.39 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,483 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,483 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, HMA Retreat Up, KDJ OS Exit +8 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +22% Intraday

▲ Bullish 94 % (23.73) ▼ Bearish 6 % (1.52)

model score 94.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 13.7 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 881 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 12h
13:30TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 13h
13:30TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 13h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.32
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	2.11
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.99
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.93
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.79
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.78
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish signals fired on the 1H, including a trendline break and multiple oscillator cross-ups from oversold levels.
The signal is counter-trend: all higher timeframes are bearish, so this is likely a bounce within a downtrend.
Key levels: resistance at 0.56315, support at 0.55706. A break above resistance would confirm bullish momentum; a break below support invalidates the signal.
Given the 94% probability and very strong strength, the setup is high-conviction but should be managed with tight risk given the bearish backdrop.

The NZD/USD 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators at the 2026-11-04 02:00 UTC candle: a Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, ER Level Cross Down, and KDJ OS Exit, among others. This confluence across candlestick, trendline, and indicator groups suggests a strong momentum shift from oversold conditions, with the probability score at 94% and very strong strength. The immediate target is the nearest resistance at 0.56315, while the nearest support at 0.55706 acts as the invalidation level if price breaks below.

However, the broader trend context is bearish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily, with the daily showing a solid trend (3/5). This means the bullish signal is counter-trend on the higher timeframes, and the 1H trend is only choppy/sideways (1/5). The signal likely represents a short-term bounce or correction within a larger downtrend, not a reversal. Traders should watch whether price can hold above the broken trendline and push through 0.56315; a failure to do so would reinforce the dominant bearish bias.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (RSI, Stochastic, Williams %R, KDJ) all exited oversold conditions simultaneously, indicating strong buying pressure.
▲ Trendline break up adds a technical pattern confirmation to the momentum shift.
▲ The BOP zero cross up suggests improving buying pressure relative to selling.
▲ The sheer number of signals (12+) firing at once increases the reliability of the move.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframe trend is firmly bearish, with the daily showing a solid downtrend; this could cap upside or lead to a quick reversal.
▼ The 1H trend is only choppy/sideways, meaning the signal may be a short-lived bounce rather than a sustained move.
▼ If price fails to break above 0.56315, the bullish case weakens; a break below 0.55706 would invalidate the signal entirely.
▼ Momentum could fade if the oversold bounce runs out of steam, especially with the broader downtrend still in play.