USD/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-03 22:00 UTC 15 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

1.40053

Target

1.39418 +0.45 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40686 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 927 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 927 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +29% Intraday

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.59) ▼ Bearish 93 % (22.02)

model score 93.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.9 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 695 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 12h
13:30TodayCADTrade Balance●●○Forecast $0.488BPrevious $4.199Bin 13h
13:30TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 13h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.79
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.33
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.28
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	1.19
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.05

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals converge on the 2H chart, including a trendline break and momentum crossdowns.
Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish, supporting the sell bias despite short-term bullish noise.
Watch the 1.39418 support – a break opens the door to further downside; 1.40686 resistance is the key invalidation zone.
The squeeze fire suggests volatility is about to expand, likely in the direction of the dominant trend.

The USD/CAD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by momentum and volatility indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm selling pressure, while the ADXR Trend Weak suggests the prior trend is losing steam, making the breakout more meaningful. The EMA 200 Retreat Down and HMA Retreat Down add trend-alignment weight, and the SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicates an imminent expansion, likely favoring the downside given the confluence of bearish triggers.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but tilts bearish. The 2H trend is bullish but choppy (1/5), while the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are all bearish, with the daily showing a solid trend (3/5). This suggests the bearish move is part of a larger downtrend, and the 2H sell signal may be an early turn against the short-term bullish correction. Key levels to watch: resistance at 1.40686 and support at 1.39418. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of signals: trendline break, momentum crossdowns, and EMA/HMA retreats all point lower.
▼ Higher timeframe alignment: 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all bearish, with the daily trend solid.
▼ Squeeze fire indicates an impending volatility expansion, which often accelerates the prevailing trend.
▼ ADXR trend weak confirms the prior up-move is losing strength, making the breakout more credible.

Risk Factors

▲ The 2H trend is still technically bullish (choppy), so the sell signal could be a false breakdown if price reclaims 1.40686.
▲ Shorter timeframes (15m to 1h) are bullish, which may cause a bounce before the move down resumes.
▲ If support at 1.39418 holds, the bearish momentum could stall and lead to a sideways consolidation.
▲ Watch for a daily close above 1.40686 – that would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a potential reversal.