USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-03 22:00 UTC 18 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %

Entry

158.465

Target

156.962 +0.95 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.949 −0.31 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 927 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 927 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, DX Trend Weak, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat +7 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

53.6 % – first candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 39 % (7.78) ▼ Bearish 61 % (12.37)

model score 61.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.4 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 16.9 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 534 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 12h
13:30TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 13h
13:30TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 13h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.43
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.25
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.72
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.56
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.35
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.30
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.25
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.24
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.09
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.04
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 2H signal is a SELL, driven by overbought conditions and bearish crossovers, but with weak strength and a bullish higher timeframe context.
The trend is mixed across timeframes: 15m bearish, but 30m and 1H bullish, and higher timeframes bullish but choppy.
Key levels: resistance at 158.603, support at 156.962. A break below support confirms bearish momentum; holding above resistance invalidates the sell signal.
The signal is likely a short-term pullback within a broader uptrend, not a reversal.

The 2H USD/JPY signal is a SELL, driven by a cluster of overbought exit indicators (CCI, RSI, Williams %R) and bearish crossovers (Stochastic, KDJ, ER). The signal strength is weak, and the higher timeframe trend remains predominantly bullish, though the 2H itself is choppy/sideways. The signal suggests a short-term pullback within a broader uptrend, with immediate resistance at 158.603 and support at 156.962. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum, while holding above resistance would invalidate the sell signal.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed: 15m is bearish, but 30m and 1h are bullish, and higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are all bullish but weak/choppy. This divergence indicates the sell signal is likely a counter-trend correction rather than a reversal. The confluence of multiple overbought exits and crossovers on the 2H chart does suggest a pullback is due, but the lack of trend strength on higher timeframes limits the downside potential. Traders should watch the 156.962 support as the key level for a potential continuation lower, and the 158.603 resistance as the invalidation zone.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought indicators (CCI, RSI, Williams %R) on the 2H chart suggest momentum is stretched and due for a pullback.
▼ Bearish crossovers on Stochastic, KDJ, and ER add confluence to the sell signal.
▼ The 15m trend is bearish, providing short-term alignment with the signal.
▼ The signal fired at a key resistance level (158.603), increasing the likelihood of a rejection.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframe trend (30m to 1D) is bullish, which could overpower the 2H bearish signal and lead to a bounce.
▲ The signal strength is weak, indicating limited conviction behind the sell.
▲ If price breaks above 158.603 resistance, the sell signal is invalidated and a continuation higher is likely.
▲ The 2H trend is choppy/sideways, which can lead to false signals and whipsaws.