AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL With the trend 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 20:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.38 %

Entry

109.410

Target

108.995 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.303 −1.73 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.17
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	2.17
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.91
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.38
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.12
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.12
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.76

Trend Context

15M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals fired on the 1H, led by a Trendline Break Down and Ichimoku TK Cross Down.
Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) show extremely strong bearish trends, confirming the 1H sell signal.
Nearest resistance at 111.30300 is the key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
Higher timeframes remain choppy, so the move may be limited in depth—manage expectations accordingly.

The AUD/JPY 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and an ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down, with supporting momentum signals including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and TEMA Retreat Down. The confluence of trendline, candlestick, and indicator groups points to a strong shift in intraday sentiment. The lower timeframe trend is decisively bearish, with the 15m and 30m showing extremely strong and very strong trend scores (5/5 and 4/5), while the 1H itself holds a solid bearish trend (3/5). This alignment across the most relevant trading timeframes suggests the selloff has momentum and is likely to continue.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.30300, which now acts as a ceiling for any bounce attempts. With no defined nearest support, the downside is open, but traders should monitor for potential support zones on lower timeframes or psychological levels. The bearish trend is forming on the 2H and 8H, but higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) remain choppy or sideways, which could limit the depth of the move. As long as price stays below 111.30300 and the momentum indicators remain bearish, the sell bias is intact.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes.
▼ Multiple signal groups (candlestick, trendline, indicator) all pointing in the same direction.
▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, TEMA) confirm the bearish push.
▼ Ichimoku TK Cross Down adds a classic trend-reversal signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, which could limit the bearish move.
▲ A break above resistance at 111.30300 would invalidate the sell setup.
▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes could lead to a pullback or consolidation.
▲ With no defined support, the move could be sharp but short-lived if higher timeframe buyers step in.