AUD/JPY – 8H – BUY
BUY Counter-trend NEW CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal
Closed at stop · result −1.32 %
Entry
110.950
Target
111.564 +0.55 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.489 −1.32 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 346 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 346 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.67 %
30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 %
32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 %
18 % at stop avg −0.63 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up +19 more
Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 668 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
- November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
- November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▲ | SMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.04 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | EMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▲ | RSX Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▲ | MACD Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▲ | CMO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▲ | RSI Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | AROON Cross Up | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▲ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | AROON Strong Uptrend | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▲ | MAMA Cross Up | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▲ | KELTNER MID Cross Up | indicator | 1.26 |
| ▲ | BIAS Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.19 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.17 |
| ▲ | Tweezers Bottom | candlestick | 0.94 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A powerful 8H bullish momentum cluster has fired, but higher timeframes are still bearish.
- Watch the 111.56400 resistance; a break above it would confirm the bullish reversal.
- The 109.48900 support is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the signal.
- The 8H trend is only 'trend forming', so confirmation from higher timeframes is needed.
The AUD/JPY 8H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including AROON Cross Up and AROON Strong Uptrend, alongside zero-line crossings from BOP, CMO, MOM, and ROC, plus a MACD Signal Cross Up. This confluence suggests a strong shift in momentum toward the upside on the 8H timeframe, with the AROON readings confirming a fresh uptrend rather than a mere bounce. The signal's very strong strength and high probability reflect the alignment of multiple independent indicators, all pointing in the same direction.
However, the broader trend structure remains mixed. The 8H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5) and most other timeframes, including the 1H, 4H, and 1D, are bearish and choppy. This suggests that the bullish signal is an early reversal attempt on the 8H, but it lacks confirmation from higher timeframes. The nearest resistance at 111.56400 is a critical hurdle; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while the nearest support at 109.48900 acts as the key invalidation zone. Traders should watch for sustained momentum and a shift in higher-timeframe trends to validate this signal.
However, the broader trend structure remains mixed. The 8H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5) and most other timeframes, including the 1H, 4H, and 1D, are bearish and choppy. This suggests that the bullish signal is an early reversal attempt on the 8H, but it lacks confirmation from higher timeframes. The nearest resistance at 111.56400 is a critical hurdle; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while the nearest support at 109.48900 acts as the key invalidation zone. Traders should watch for sustained momentum and a shift in higher-timeframe trends to validate this signal.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (AROON, MACD, MOM, ROC, etc.) all crossing up simultaneously.
- ▲ AROON Strong Uptrend confirms a fresh uptrend on the 8H timeframe.
- ▲ High probability (92%) and very strong strength signal indicate robust momentum.
- ▲ The bullish signal occurs near a support zone, offering a favorable risk-reward setup.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a false breakout.
- ▼ The 8H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the bullish move lacks full trend confirmation.
- ▼ A break below the 109.48900 support would invalidate the signal and could trigger a sharp decline.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 111.56400 is a strong barrier; failure to break it may see momentum fade.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
8H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
5%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-11-05 06:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.56400 | 2026-10-29 |
| R2 | 112.61300 | 2026-09-18 |
| R3 | 114.95600 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 109.48900 | 2026-10-23 |
| S2 | 108.63400 | 2026-10-15 |