AUD/JPY – 8H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −1.32 %
Entry
110.950
Target
111.564 +0.55 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.489 −1.32 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 346 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 346 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.67 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.63 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up +19 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 668 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.12
▲ SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.04
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.98
▲ EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.97
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.79
▲ RSX Midline Cross Up indicator 1.77
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.58
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.58
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.56
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.46
▲ AROON Cross Up indicator 1.45
▲ AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.45
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.44
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.44
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.44
▲ AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.43
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.43
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ MAMA Cross Up indicator 1.39
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.26
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.19
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.17
▲ Tweezers Bottom candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful 8H bullish momentum cluster has fired, but higher timeframes are still bearish.
  • Watch the 111.56400 resistance; a break above it would confirm the bullish reversal.
  • The 109.48900 support is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the signal.
  • The 8H trend is only 'trend forming', so confirmation from higher timeframes is needed.
The AUD/JPY 8H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including AROON Cross Up and AROON Strong Uptrend, alongside zero-line crossings from BOP, CMO, MOM, and ROC, plus a MACD Signal Cross Up. This confluence suggests a strong shift in momentum toward the upside on the 8H timeframe, with the AROON readings confirming a fresh uptrend rather than a mere bounce. The signal's very strong strength and high probability reflect the alignment of multiple independent indicators, all pointing in the same direction.

However, the broader trend structure remains mixed. The 8H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5) and most other timeframes, including the 1H, 4H, and 1D, are bearish and choppy. This suggests that the bullish signal is an early reversal attempt on the 8H, but it lacks confirmation from higher timeframes. The nearest resistance at 111.56400 is a critical hurdle; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while the nearest support at 109.48900 acts as the key invalidation zone. Traders should watch for sustained momentum and a shift in higher-timeframe trends to validate this signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (AROON, MACD, MOM, ROC, etc.) all crossing up simultaneously.
  • ▲ AROON Strong Uptrend confirms a fresh uptrend on the 8H timeframe.
  • ▲ High probability (92%) and very strong strength signal indicate robust momentum.
  • ▲ The bullish signal occurs near a support zone, offering a favorable risk-reward setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a false breakout.
  • ▼ The 8H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the bullish move lacks full trend confirmation.
  • ▼ A break below the 109.48900 support would invalidate the signal and could trigger a sharp decline.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 111.56400 is a strong barrier; failure to break it may see momentum fade.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 8H
Direction BUY
Conviction 5%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-05 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.56400 2026-10-29
R2 112.61300 2026-09-18
R3 114.95600 2026-08-28
S1 109.48900 2026-10-23
S2 108.63400 2026-10-15

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