AUD/USD – 2H – SELL
SELL With the trend 6× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, DEMA Break Down, KAMA Break Down +14 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 4h
- TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 4h
- TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 4h
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.65 |
| ▼ | DEMA Break Down | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▼ | KAMA Break Down | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▼ | KST Signal Cross Down | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▼ | HMA Break Down | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.31 |
| ▼ | COPPOCK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Break Down | indicator | 2.20 |
| ▼ | MA Break Down | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | ADX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▼ | EMA Break Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Break Down | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▲ | SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▼ | QQE Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | FISHER Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | MAMA Cross Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Entry | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▲ | CTI OS Entry | indicator | 1.20 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bearish confluence with 18 signals firing on the 2H timeframe, indicating high-probability downside momentum.
- Trend alignment is bearish across all timeframes from 15m to 1d, though higher timeframes (8h, 12h) are choppy, limiting the strength of the overall trend.
- Key levels: resistance at 0.70680 and support at 0.68941; a break below support could accelerate selling, while a reclaim of resistance would negate the bearish signal.
- Probability is high at 88% with very strong strength, but the 2H and 4H trends are still forming, so momentum may need to build before a full move unfolds.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.70680 and support at 0.68941. A break below support would open the path for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The trend scores show a gradual build-up from the 4H to the 2H, indicating that momentum is still developing, which could lead to a stronger move if the lower timeframe trends hold. Traders should watch for any reversal signals near support or a failure to sustain the breakdown, as these would signal a potential trend change.
- ▼ Multiple moving average breakdowns (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) confirm broad-based bearish momentum.
- ▼ Higher-timeframe trendline break adds a structural element to the bearish case, suggesting a shift in the larger trend.
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) show solid to very strong bearish trends, providing a supportive backdrop for the 2H signal.
- ▼ ADX Trend Strong indicates that the current trend has significant strength, reducing the likelihood of a quick reversal.
- ▲ The 8H and 12H timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could cap the downside or lead to range-bound price action.
- ▲ A break back above the nearest resistance at 0.70680 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ The 2H and 4H trends are only 'forming' (2/5 strength), meaning momentum is not yet fully established and could fade.
- ▲ Watch for any bullish reversal patterns near support at 0.68941, as a bounce could signal exhaustion of the selling pressure.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.70680 | 2026-10-29 |
| S1 | 0.68941 | 2026-10-15 |