AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW CLOSED

2026-11-05 13:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.72 %

Entry

0.70044

Target

0.70246 +0.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69541 −0.72 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, STOCH OS Exit, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 17.8 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 585 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 12h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 12h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 12h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.97
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.84
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.84
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.73
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.64
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, but it is counter to the broader bearish trend.
Key resistance at 0.70246 must be broken to confirm a larger reversal.
Support at 0.70012 is the critical level; losing it would invalidate the bullish setup.
The 2-hour timeframe is the only higher timeframe showing bullish alignment, so watch for confirmation there.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart is flashing a cluster of bullish signals, including a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern, a BOP Zero Cross Up, and exits from oversold conditions on the STOCH, STOCHRSI, and WILLR indicators. The HMA Retreat Up and the HT Trendmode shift from mode to cycle add further weight to the bullish case. Together, these signals suggest that selling pressure is exhausting and that buyers are stepping in, with the probability of a bullish continuation rated at 88% and very strong strength.

However, the broader trend picture is not uniformly supportive. While the 2-hour timeframe shows a bullish trend forming, all other timeframes from 15 minutes up to the daily are bearish, with many in choppy or sideways conditions. This mixed alignment means the bullish signal on the 30-minute chart is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.70246 is a key level to watch; a break above it could signal a more sustained reversal, while failure to hold above support at 0.70012 would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH, STOCHRSI, WILLR) are exiting oversold conditions, suggesting a momentum shift.
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern adds confluence to the indicator signals.
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicates a pullback within a potential uptrend, and the HT Trendmode shift to cycle suggests a change in market regime.
▲ The 2-hour timeframe is already showing a bullish trend forming, offering some higher-timeframe support.

Risk Factors

▼ The overwhelming majority of timeframes are bearish, so this could be a counter-trend bounce that fades.
▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 0.70246, the bullish move may stall and reverse.
▼ A break below support at 0.70012 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely lead to further downside.
▼ Momentum could fade quickly given the choppy/sideways conditions on the 30-minute and other key timeframes.