ETH/BTC – 12H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-05 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +2.32 %

Entry

0.03012

Target

0.02835 +5.88 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.03253 −8.00 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.08 % per trade 764 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 764 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

23 % at target avg +5.13 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.71 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.78 % 17 % at stop avg −6.06 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 23 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ Cross Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

49.6 % ↓ −13.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 17 % (7.00) ▼ Bearish 83 % (33.23)

model score 40.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.3 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 44.2 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 4,145 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▲	KST Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.49
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.26
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	1.09
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

SELL signal is counter-trend; higher timeframes are bullish and solid.
Mixed oscillator signals: some cross up, some cross down — weak conviction.
Bearish candlesticks suggest short-term pullback, not a trend reversal.
Watch 0.03253 resistance; a break above negates the bearish setup.

The 12H ETH/BTC signal is a SELL, but the confluence is mixed and the probability is only 59% with weak strength. The indicator cluster includes a STOCH KD Cross Up (short-term momentum up) alongside STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and a KST Zero Cross Up — a conflicting picture where some oscillators are turning down while others are still showing upward crossovers. The candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami Cross, Gapping Down Doji) add a bearish short-term tone, but the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up and KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat suggest the broader uptrend is still intact, with price merely pulling back from the upper band.

Across timeframes, the trend is bullish and solid (3/5) from 1H up to 1D, with only the 15m and 30m showing choppy bullish action. This means the SELL signal is counter-trend on the higher timeframes, which lowers its reliability. The nearest resistance at 0.03253 is the immediate hurdle; a break above would invalidate the bearish case. Support at 0.02835 is the key downside target if the pullback extends. Given the weak strength and conflicting signals, traders should treat this as a minor retracement opportunity rather than a major reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami Cross, Gapping Down Doji) add short-term selling pressure.
▼ STOCHRSI and KDJ cross down indicate momentum turning lower on the 12H chart.
▼ KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat shows price pulling back from the upper band, often leading to mean reversion.
▼ Support at 0.02835 is well below current price, offering room for a move down.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends are bullish and solid (3/5), which may absorb the bearish pullback.
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up and KST Zero Cross Up are bullish signals that conflict with the SELL direction.
▲ If price breaks above 0.03253 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Weak strength (59%) suggests limited follow-through; the pullback could stall quickly.