EUR/CAD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 13:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.23 %

Entry

1.56831

Target

1.57191 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.55911 −0.59 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,673 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,673 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Break Up, EMA 200 Break Up, ALMA Break Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 1,018 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CAD

Full calendar

07:00TomorrowEURCPI y/y●●●in 1 day
07:00TomorrowEURCPI m/m●●●in 1 day
09:00November 12, 2026EURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KAMA Break Up	indicator	2.17
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.05
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	1.99
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	1.65
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.43
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.38
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.33
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	1.27
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.25
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.21

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish 1H signal with multiple moving average breakouts, but against a strong bearish trend across all higher timeframes.
Counter-trend bounce likely; watch resistance at 1.57191 for potential upside continuation.
Support at 1.56590 is critical; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
Trend strength is weak (ADXR), so the move may lack momentum.

The EUR/CAD 1H signal is a confluence of technical breakouts, with multiple moving averages (EMA 200, KAMA, SMA 200, T3, ALMA) all breaking upward, alongside a retreat from the lower Bollinger Band and a weak ADXR indicating a nascent trend. The signal also includes a candlestick component, adding weight to the bullish case. However, the broader timeframe trend is overwhelmingly bearish, with all timeframes from 15m to 1D showing bearish bias, though the 2H and 4H are choppy/sideways. This suggests the bullish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, likely a corrective bounce rather than a reversal. The nearest resistance at 1.57191 is a key level to watch; a break above could signal a deeper retracement, while the nearest support at 1.56590 is the immediate downside risk.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple moving average breakouts (EMA 200, KAMA, SMA 200, T3, ALMA) on the 1H.
▲ Retreat from the lower Bollinger Band suggests oversold conditions and potential for a bounce.
▲ Candlestick signal adds confirmation to the bullish case.
▲ Nearby support at 1.56590 may provide a floor for the bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Strong bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the daily and 12H solid trends, argues against sustained upside.
▼ The 1H trend is only 'trend forming' with weak ADXR, indicating the bullish move may lack conviction.
▼ Resistance at 1.57191 is nearby and could cap the bounce, especially if the broader downtrend resumes.
▼ A break below support at 1.56590 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely accelerate the downtrend.