USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 04:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.05 %

Entry

157.926

Target

158.674 +0.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.397 −0.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,673 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,673 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 1,018 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 1h
23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 7h
23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	2.14
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.67
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.45
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.25
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.08
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.88

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish indicators on the 1H chart suggests a potential short-term bounce in USD/JPY.
The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.674 for a breakout; failure could end the bounce.
The nearest support at 157.397 is the key level to hold for the bullish case.

The USD/JPY 1H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including an APO Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and a KDJ OS Exit, all pointing to a potential short-term bounce. The SMA 200 Retreat Up and HMA Retreat Up suggest that price is pulling back toward a rising moving average, which could provide dynamic support. The confluence of these signals, along with a strong probability score of 83%, indicates that momentum is shifting from bearish to bullish on the 1H timeframe.

However, the broader trend across timeframes remains firmly bearish, with all timeframes from 15m to 1D showing a downtrend, albeit choppy on the higher timeframes. This suggests that the bullish signal is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 158.674 is a key level to watch; if price fails to break above it, the bounce could fizzle. Conversely, a break above resistance could signal a deeper correction. The nearest support at 157.397 is the invalidation level for the bullish scenario.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (APO, BOP, STOCHF, KDJ, RSX) have fired bullish signals simultaneously, increasing confluence.
▲ The SMA 200 Retreat Up and HMA Retreat Up suggest price is finding support near a rising moving average.
▲ Strong signal probability (83%) and strong strength rating indicate high conviction in the short-term move.
▲ Oversold conditions (KDJ OS Exit, RSX OS Entry) often precede bounces, adding to the bullish case.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend is bearish on all timeframes, so the bullish signal may be a mere retracement within a larger downtrend.
▼ If price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 158.674, the bounce could stall and reverse.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 157.397 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ Choppy conditions on higher timeframes (1H and above) suggest low trend strength, which could lead to false signals.