AUD/JPY – 8H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW
48 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.31 %
Entry
108.743
Target
111.564 +2.59 %
closes in profit
Stop
105.397 −3.08 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 339 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 339 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.65 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.62 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +13% Swing
▲ Bullish 88 % (9.92) ▼ Bearish 12 % (1.34)
model score 88.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 983 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.50
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.50
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.40
▲ ADX Trend Strong indicator 1.35
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.34
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.08
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 1.03
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 0.93

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish 8H signals suggest a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is still bearish.
  • Key resistance to watch is 111.564; a break above could extend the bounce.
  • Support at 108.634 is the invalidation level; a break below would negate the bullish setup.
  • Counter-trend signals carry higher risk; consider smaller position sizes or waiting for confirmation.
The AUD/JPY 8H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern, a Spinning Top Bullish, and multiple momentum indicators turning up (ADX Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, HT SINE Zero Cross Down, CTI OS Entry). These signals suggest that selling pressure is waning and that a short-term bounce may be developing within the broader downtrend. However, the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H) all remain bearish, with the 1H showing a very strong trend (4/5). This creates a conflict: the 8H signal is a counter-trend bounce against the dominant bearish structure.

The nearest resistance at 111.564 is the immediate upside target, while support at 108.634 provides a floor. For the signal to play out, price needs to hold above support and push through resistance. A failure to break above 111.564 would likely see the bounce fade, and a break below 108.634 would invalidate the bullish case. Given the strong bearish trend on the 1H, traders should treat this as a potential short-term long opportunity within a larger downtrend, not as a reversal signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously (Bullish Harami, Spinning Top Bullish, momentum crossovers) increase the likelihood of a bounce.
  • ▲ The ADX Trend Strong indicates that the current move may be gaining strength, supporting the bullish case.
  • ▲ The CTI OS Entry suggests the market is oversold, which often precedes a corrective rally.
  • ▲ The confluence of candlestick and indicator signals at the same time adds weight to the setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant trend across all timeframes is bearish, with the 1H showing a very strong downtrend (4/5), which could overwhelm the 8H bounce.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 111.564 is a major hurdle; failure to break above could lead to a quick reversal.
  • ▼ The 15M and 1D timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear momentum that could undermine the signal.
  • ▼ A break below support at 108.634 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate selling.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 8H
Direction BUY
Conviction 88%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-06 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.56400 2026-10-29
R2 112.61300 2026-09-18
R3 114.95600 2026-08-28
S1 108.63400 2026-10-15

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