AUD/USD – 8H – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-06 06:00 UTC 48 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.30 %

Entry

0.68638

Target

0.67949 +1.00 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70680 −2.98 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 339 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 339 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.65 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.62 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 15 % (4.16) ▼ Bearish 85 % (22.74)

model score 84.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDMichigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations●●○Forecast 3.4%Previous 3.5%in 11m
15:00TodayUSDMichigan Inflation Expectations●●○Forecast 4.4%Previous 4.7%in 11m
15:00TodayUSDMichigan Consumer Expectations●●○Forecast 49.0Previous 48.8in 11m

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.01
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	1.97
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	1.88
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.60
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.32
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.06
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 8H timeframe with high probability (84%).
Multiple indicators confirm the downtrend, including a Death Cross and MAMA/MIDPOINT retreats.
Bearish alignment across most timeframes, but the 12H is sideways, indicating potential consolidation.
Key resistance at 0.70680 is the level to watch; a break above would negate the bearish outlook.

The AUD/USD 8H signal is firmly bearish, with a strong 84% probability and a cluster of momentum and trend indicators aligning to the downside. The MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE Retreat Down signals, alongside the SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross and T3 Retreat Down, all point to sustained downward pressure. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up and CTI/KDJ OS entries add a contrarian oversold element, but the overall momentum remains bearish. The confluence of these signals across candlestick and indicator groups reinforces the sell bias.

Trend alignment across timeframes is mostly supportive, with bearish trends on the 15m through 8H charts, though the 8H trend is still forming (2/5) and the 12H is choppy/sideways. This suggests the bearish move is well-established on lower timeframes but may face resistance at higher levels. The nearest resistance at 0.70680 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The lack of a defined support level leaves room for further downside, but traders should monitor for any signs of reversal given the oversold conditions.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA Death Cross, T3).
▼ Strong bearish trend scores on the 30m, 1h, and 4H timeframes.
▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes supports the continuation of the sell-off.
▼ Oversold conditions (CTI, KDJ) may indicate momentum is stretched but still favors downside.

Risk Factors

▲ The 12H timeframe is choppy and sideways, which could limit the bearish follow-through.
▲ Oversold indicators (CTI, KDJ) may signal a potential bounce, risking a short-term reversal.
▲ The 8H trend is only forming (2/5), suggesting the trend may not be fully established.
▲ A break above the 0.70680 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a rally.