BTC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED

2026-11-06 08:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.37 %

Entry

76,147.73

Target

81,196.01 +6.63 %

closes in profit

Stop

74,594.35 −2.04 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.02 % per trade 2,050 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,050 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.65 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.77 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.78 % 21 % at stop avg −3.75 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, HMA Direction Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,510 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −10.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 89 % (15.03) ▼ Bearish 11 % (1.78)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.6 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 38.4 % vs 22.7 % (crypto, 2,131 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.78
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.23
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.73

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on 4H suggest a potential short-term bounce, but the broader trend remains bearish.
Resistance at 81196.01 is the key level to watch; a break above could signal further upside.
The signal strength is weak, so any long position should be managed with tight risk controls.
Conflicting timeframes (1H very strong bearish) argue against a sustained reversal.

The 4H chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, HMA Direction Up, and a Bullish Engulfing pattern. These indicate a potential short-term rebound in momentum and buying pressure. However, the overall trend structure remains bearish across most timeframes, with the 1H showing a very strong downtrend. This suggests that the current bullish signals may represent a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance at 81196.01 is a critical barrier that must be overcome to confirm bullish momentum. A failure to break above this level could see the price resume its broader downtrend. The lack of a defined nearest support adds uncertainty, as there is no clear level to gauge downside risk. Traders should treat this signal with caution due to the weak strength and the conflicting higher-timeframe bearish trends.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously (BOP, STOCH, HMA, Bullish Engulfing) indicate strong short-term buying pressure.
▲ The Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern suggests a potential reversal from recent lows.
▲ HMA Direction Up confirms a short-term uptrend in price action.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (1H, 2H) are strongly bearish, which could overwhelm the 4H bullish signals.
▼ The signal strength is weak (58% probability), indicating limited conviction.
▼ Resistance at 81196.01 may cap upside; a failure to break above could lead to a resumption of the downtrend.
▼ No clear support level identified, increasing uncertainty about downside risk.