EUR/AUD – 12H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-06 10:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.21 %

Entry

1.62248

Target

1.57746 +2.77 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.63352 −0.68 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 258 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 258 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.69 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.47 % 18 % at stop avg −0.74 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +25.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (9.98)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.1 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 16.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 615 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar

09:00TomorrowEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 17h
19:30TomorrowEURECB President Lagarde Speech●●●in 1 day
00:00November 13, 2026EUREU Leaders Summit●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.33
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.97
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.78
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.31

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bearish signals has fired on the 12H chart, but the overall trend remains bullish across most timeframes.
The bearish signals are weak in strength, suggesting a possible pullback rather than a full reversal.
Watch the nearest support at 1.57746; a break below could confirm the bearish move.
Resistance at 1.62660 is the key level to reclaim for the bullish trend to resume.

The EUR/AUD 12H chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI exiting overbought territory, a STOCHF KD Cross Down, a shift to trend mode on the higher timeframe, a retreat from the Keltner Upper band, and a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern. Together, these signals suggest that the recent upward momentum is fading and that a short-term pullback or reversal may be underway. However, the overall trend across timeframes remains predominantly bullish, with solid trends on the 8H and forming trends on the 1H through 12H. This creates a conflict between the longer-term bullish bias and the immediate bearish signals, which are currently weak in strength.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.62660 and the nearest support at 1.57746. A break below the support would confirm the bearish reversal and open the path for further downside. Conversely, if the pair fails to hold below recent swing lows and reclaims the resistance, the bearish signals would likely be invalidated. Given the weak signal strength and conflicting higher timeframe trend, traders should approach this sell signal with caution and wait for confirmation, such as a sustained move below support or additional bearish price action.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators align bearishly: BOP, RSI, STOCHF, and Keltner all point to fading momentum.
▼ The Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds a classic reversal signal.
▼ The higher timeframe trend mode shift to 'trend' indicates a potential change in market structure.
▼ A retreat from the Keltner Upper band suggests price is pulling back from overextension.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframe trend is bullish, which could overpower the weak bearish signals.
▲ Signal strength is weak, so the move may lack follow-through.
▲ If price holds above the nearest resistance at 1.62660, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes could lead to false signals.