EUR/GBP – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW
48 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %
Entry
0.83431
Target
0.83216 +0.26 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83807 −0.45 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 611 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 611 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.44 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 4 % (1.07) ▼ Bearish 96 % (27.97)
model score 96.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
EUR/GBP  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/GBP

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026EURTrade Balance●●○Forecast €17.6BPrevious €19.5Bin 2 days
  • November 11, 2026EURCPI y/y●●●in 4 days
  • November 11, 2026EURCPI m/m●●●in 4 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.28
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.15
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.13
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.77
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.61
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.61
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.29
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.29
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.07
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.92
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.71

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, and multiple moving average retreats) on the 4H chart indicates strong downside momentum.
  • Trend alignment is overwhelmingly bearish across timeframes, with the daily chart showing a very strong trend, supporting the sell signal.
  • Key levels to watch: support at 0.83216 (potential target) and resistance at 0.83807 (first barrier to upside).
  • The 15-minute chart is choppy and mildly bullish, which could lead to short-term bounces within the broader downtrend.
The EUR/GBP 4H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including the BOP, CMO, and RSI zero/midline crosses, alongside a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band and rejections at the EMA50, KAMA, and SMA50. This confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators points to a strong downside push, with the 96% probability and 'very strong' strength underscoring the conviction behind the move. The bearish alignment is corroborated by the trend structure across timeframes: the 30m through 12h charts are all bearish, with the 4H and 12H showing solid trends and the 1D showing a very strong trend. However, the 15m remains choppy and mildly bullish, suggesting the immediate downside may be punctuated by short-term bounces.

The key levels to monitor are the nearest support at 0.83216, which could act as a target or a potential reversal zone, and the nearest resistance at 0.83807, which now serves as the first barrier to any upside correction. The multi-timeframe bearish alignment, particularly the strong daily trend, supports the case for continued downside, and a break below support would confirm the next leg lower. Conversely, a reclaim of the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a potential trend shift. Traders should watch for price action around these levels to gauge the strength of the move.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, RSI) all crossed below their zero/midline levels, confirming bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band and rejecting the EMA50, KAMA, and SMA50 adds confluence to the sell signal.
  • ▼ Strong trend scores on the 4H, 12H, and 1D timeframes indicate a well-established downtrend.
  • ▼ The high probability (96%) and 'very strong' strength signal suggest a high-confidence setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15-minute chart is bullish and choppy, which could trigger short-term counter-trend rallies.
  • ▲ A close above the nearest resistance at 0.83807 would invalidate the bearish setup and could lead to a trend reversal.
  • ▲ The 1H and 8H trends are only 'forming' (2/5), so momentum may not be fully synchronized across all timeframes.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below the 0.83216 support, the bearish move may stall and consolidate.
Symbol EUR/GBP
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-06 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83807 2026-10-28
R2 0.84020 2026-10-26
R3 0.84777 2026-10-15
S1 0.83216 2026-11-02

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