EUR/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 18:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.40 %

Entry

176.546

Target

178.482 +1.10 %

closes in profit

Stop

175.073 −0.83 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 653 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 653 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish, CCI OS Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,066 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

09:00TomorrowEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 17h
19:30TomorrowEURECB President Lagarde Speech●●●in 1 day
00:00November 13, 2026EUREU Leaders Summit●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	1.95
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.36
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.15
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.12
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.10

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals fired on the 4H, but all higher timeframes remain bearish—this may be a counter-trend bounce.
Resistance at 178.48200 is the immediate hurdle; support at 175.07300 is the invalidation zone.
Watch for the 4H trend to turn bullish (score >2/5) to confirm the reversal; until then, treat longs as tactical.
The cluster of oversold-exit signals (CCI, STOCHF, BBANDS) suggests short-term buying pressure, but momentum must hold above support.

The EUR/JPY 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish momentum indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, ER Level Cross Down, QQE Midline Cross Down, HMA Retreat Up, and ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish—suggesting that downside pressure is easing and a bounce may be underway. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 1H showing a very strong downtrend (4/5) and the 30M solidly bearish (3/5). The 4H itself is only trend-forming (2/5), indicating that this signal may represent a counter-trend retracement rather than a full reversal. The confluence of multiple oscillators exiting oversold conditions and the Ichimoku cloud turning bullish on the 4H point to short-term buying interest, but the higher-timeframe bearish alignment argues for caution.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 178.48200 and support at 175.07300. A sustained move above resistance would signal that the bounce has legs, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the moderate strength (71% probability) and the conflicting higher timeframes, traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger bearish context, using tight risk management and watching for momentum confirmation on the 4H.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (CCI, STOCHF, QQE) exiting oversold conditions together.
▲ Ichimoku Cloud turning bullish on the 4H adds a structural tailwind.
▲ HMA Retreat Up and BOP Zero Cross Up confirm improving buying pressure.
▲ Fibonacci confluence near support may attract buyers.

Risk Factors

▼ Strong bearish trends on the 1H (4/5) and 30M (3/5) could overwhelm the 4H bounce.
▼ If price fails to break above 178.48200, the bounce may stall and reverse.
▼ A break below 175.07300 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate selling.
▼ Momentum may fade quickly if the 4H trend score does not improve from 2/5.