EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-06 13:40 UTC 48 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %

Entry

1.11451

Target

1.11269 +0.16 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12348 −0.80 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, ALMA Break Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 16 % (4.61) ▼ Bearish 84 % (24.35)

model score 84.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDMichigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations●●○Forecast 3.4%Previous 3.5%in 11m
15:00TodayUSDMichigan Inflation Expectations●●○Forecast 4.4%Previous 4.7%in 11m
15:00TodayUSDMichigan Consumer Expectations●●○Forecast 49.0Previous 48.8in 11m

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.78
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.78
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.64
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.58
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.38
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.29
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.28
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.09
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	1.06
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	0.92
▼	Falling Window	candlestick	0.61

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong, multi-indicator bearish signal on the 30-minute chart suggests continued downside momentum.
Bearish trends across 15m to 8h timeframes align, but the daily trend remains bullish, creating a conflict.
Nearest resistance at 1.12348 is the key level to watch; a break back above could invalidate the signal.
No immediate support level is defined, which could lead to a fast move lower if selling persists.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including breaks below the lower Bollinger Band, DEMA, midpoint, and midprice, alongside retreats from the EMA, KAMA, and moving averages. This confluence of indicator-based and candlestick signals points to strong selling pressure at the current level, with the very strong probability (91%) reflecting the alignment of multiple technical tools. The bearish momentum is supported by a consistent bearish trend across the 15-minute through 8-hour timeframes, though the 12-hour is choppy and the daily remains bullish, indicating a potential longer-term conflict.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12348, which now acts as a ceiling, while the lack of a defined support level below suggests that the pair may be entering a vacuum, potentially accelerating downward. The alignment of lower timeframe trends with the 30-minute signal is a positive for the bearish case, but the bullish daily trend and the absence of nearby support warrant caution. Traders should monitor whether price respects the resistance and whether the daily trend shows any signs of turning, as that could invalidate the short-term bearish outlook.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple breakdown signals (BBANDS, DEMA, midpoint, midprice) and retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MA) on the 30-minute chart.
▼ Consistent bearish trend scores across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, with solid trend strength.
▼ Strong signal probability (91%) and very strong strength rating.
▼ Bearish momentum is supported by the price being below key moving averages, reinforcing the downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily time frame remains bullish, which could lead to a reversal if the pair finds buyers at lower levels.
▲ The 12-hour trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction at that horizon.
▲ The nearest support is undefined, so a bounce could occur at any level, but the lack of a clear target makes the trade less predictable.
▲ A break back above the 1.12348 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.