NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %
Entry
0.55629
Target
0.56581 +1.71 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.55336 −0.53 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, KDJ OS Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −11.6 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +1% Scalping
▲ Bullish 100 % (7.80) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 2.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 13.2 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 949 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
NZD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 7h
  • TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 7h
  • TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 3%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 04:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.56
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.49
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.38
▲ High Wave Bullish candlestick 1.32
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 1.10
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 0.90

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of bullish signals has fired on the 30-minute chart, suggesting a possible short-term bounce.
  • The broader trend remains bearish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.56581; a break above could signal further upside, while rejection may lead to renewed selling.
  • The overall bearish trend strength is very strong on lower timeframes, so any long positions should be managed with tight risk controls.
The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, KDJ OS Exit, HMA Retreat Up, Bullish Harami, and High Wave Bullish. These signals indicate a potential short-term bounce or reversal within a broader bearish trend. The confluence of indicator and candlestick patterns suggests that buying pressure is emerging after a period of downward momentum, but the overall trend across multiple timeframes remains bearish, with very strong bearish trends on the 15-minute and 30-minute charts.

The bullish signals are occurring against a backdrop of persistent bearish momentum, with the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes showing very strong bearish trends. This suggests that any upward move may be a counter-trend rally rather than a full reversal. The nearest resistance at 0.56581 is a key level to watch; a break above this could signal a more sustained recovery, while failure to hold above it may see the pair resume its downtrend. Traders should monitor price action closely around this level and be cautious of the strong bearish trend that could quickly overpower the current bullish signals.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish signals aligning (indicator and candlestick) increases the likelihood of a short-term bounce.
  • ▲ The HMA Retreat Up and KDJ OS Exit indicate that the downtrend may be losing momentum, providing a potential entry point for counter-trend longs.
  • ▲ The Bullish Harami and High Wave Bullish patterns suggest a shift in sentiment from sellers to buyers at the recent lows.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes could quickly overwhelm the bullish signals, leading to a failed bounce.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.56581 may act as a strong barrier, and failure to break above it could invalidate the bullish case.
  • ▼ The 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional conviction that could undermine the signal.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the recent swing low, the bullish setup would be invalidated, and the downtrend could resume with renewed strength.
Symbol NZD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 3%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-06 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.56581 2026-11-05

Tags

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