USD/CAD – 4H – BUY

BUY With the trend NEW

2026-11-06 10:00 UTC 47 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %

Entry

1.41070

Target

1.43000 +1.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.39296 −1.26 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 611 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 611 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.44 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Regular Bull Div, Stoch Regular Bull Div, ALMA Break Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +28% Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (65.67) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

15:00TodayCADIvey PMI n.s.a.●●○Previous 61.9in 12m
15:00TodayCADIvey PMI●●○Forecast 57.3Previous 58.2in 12m
15:00TodayUSDMichigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations●●○Forecast 3.4%Previous 3.5%in 12m

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MACD Regular Bull Div	divergence	3.07
▲	Stoch Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.77
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.71
▲	Momentum Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.67
▲	AO Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.65
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.62
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.61
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.59
▲	RSI Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.56
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.40
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.40
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.33
▲	EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.06
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.04
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.42

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish confluence on 4H: Golden Cross, EMA 200 break, and multiple retreat-up signals.
Trend is bullish across all intraday timeframes, with strongest momentum on 1H.
Resistance at 1.43000 is the immediate upside target; support at 1.39296 is the key invalidation.
Daily trend is bearish, so this is a counter-trend move—trade with caution.

The USD/CAD 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including a Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMAs, an EMA 200 break to the upside, and multiple retreat-up signals across DEMA, KAMA, MAMA, and midpoint lines. The ADX confirms a strong trend, while the signal groups highlight both divergence and indicator-based confirmation. This confluence points to sustained upward momentum on the 4H timeframe, with the price likely to challenge the nearest resistance at 1.43000.

Across timeframes, the trend is bullish from 15m up to 8H, with the strongest momentum on the 1H (4/5) and solid trends on 15m, 30m, and 2H. The 4H and 8H are still forming, suggesting the move is early but building. However, the 12H is choppy and the 1D remains bearish, so this is a counter-trend move against the daily picture. The nearest support at 1.39296 is the key level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Strong trend score (ADX) and very strong signal strength (100%).
▲ Multiple indicators align: Golden Cross, EMA 200 break, and retreat-ups on DEMA, KAMA, MAMA, and midpoint.
▲ Bullish alignment across 15m to 8H timeframes, with 1H showing very strong trend.
▲ Signal groups include divergence, adding further confirmation.

Risk Factors

▼ Daily timeframe remains bearish; a stronger daily downtrend could cap upside.
▼ 12H is choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of momentum at that level.
▼ Price may face selling pressure near 1.43000 resistance; watch for a rejection.
▼ A close below 1.39296 support would invalidate the bullish setup.