AUD/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY With the trend 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 16:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.86 %

Entry

0.69139

Target

0.70246 +1.60 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68542 −0.86 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,109 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,109 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.43 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Up, KAMA Break Up, MCGD Break Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 826 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 3h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 3h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 4h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.93
▲	KAMA Break Up	indicator	2.89
▲	MCGD Break Up	indicator	2.84
▲	EMA Break Up	indicator	2.72
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	2.26
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.25
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.99
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	0.67

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish momentum and trend-following signals fired on the 2H chart, indicating strong short-term buying pressure.
The 15m to 2H timeframes are all bullish, but the 4H and 8H remain bearish, suggesting this is a counter-trend rally.
Key resistance is at 0.70246; a break above could extend gains, while support at 0.68542 is the critical level to hold.
The signal has very strong strength and 100% probability, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend warrants caution.

The AUD/USD 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including CMO Zero Cross Up, DI Cross Up, DM Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, and STOCH KD Cross Up, alongside trend-following breakouts (EMA, DEMA, KAMA). This confluence points to a strong short-term upward push, with the 2H timeframe showing bullish trend formation. However, the broader picture is mixed: while the 15m through 2H timeframes are all bullish (albeit early-stage), the 4H and 8H timeframes remain bearish, indicating that this move is likely a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.70246 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.68542 marks the key level to hold for the bullish scenario to remain valid.

Given the very strong signal strength and 100% probability, the immediate momentum favors buyers, but traders should be cautious about the conflicting higher timeframe trend. A break above 0.70246 could open the door for further upside, but failure to hold above the support zone would invalidate the bullish setup. The signal is best viewed as a tactical long opportunity within a broader bearish structure, so position sizing and risk management are crucial.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (CMO, RSI, Stochastic) all crossed above their midlines, confirming bullish momentum.
▲ Trend-following indicators (EMA, DEMA, KAMA) all broke upward, aligning with the 2H bullish trend formation.
▲ The bullish signal cluster is supported by consistent bullish trends across the 15m to 2H timeframes.
▲ The nearest resistance at 0.70246 is within reach, and a successful test could trigger further upside.

Risk Factors

▼ The 4H and 8H timeframes are bearish, suggesting the current rally may be a counter-trend move that could fade.
▼ If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 0.68542, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ The lower timeframe trends are only in early formation (2/5), so momentum could stall quickly.
▼ A break below the 2H bullish structure would signal a resumption of the broader downtrend.