BTC/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.93 %

Entry

74,372.01

Target

62,535.24 +15.92 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,971.00 −10.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.06 % per trade 816 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 816 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.12 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.71 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.78 % 18 % at stop avg −5.96 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, DEMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % ↑ +27.0 vs previous candle

STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 18 % (2.23) ▼ Bearish 82 % (9.98)

model score 81.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD10-Year Note Auction●●○in 1h
13:30November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00November 12, 2026USDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 12:03 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.40
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	1.95
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.56
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.31

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 12H chart, with multiple indicators aligned lower.
Trend is bearish across 1H to 12H timeframes; only short-term (15m/30m) is bullish, likely a retracement.
Key support at 62535.24 is the critical level to watch; a break below confirms downside.
Resistance at 81971.00 is the nearest upside barrier; a close above would weaken the bearish case.

The 12H BTC/USDT signal is firmly bearish, with an 82% probability and strong strength. The confluence of multiple indicators—STOCHF KD Cross Down, DEMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down—points to sustained downward momentum. The BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up suggests price is pulling back from the lower band, but the overall trend remains down, while the Spinning Top Bearish candlestick confirms seller control. The AO Saucer Bullish is a minor counter-signal but does not outweigh the bearish cluster.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 1H to 12H, with the strongest conviction at 2H (4/5) and solid trends at 4H, 8H, and 12H. The 15m and 30m are bullish but only forming (2/5), likely a short-term bounce within the larger downtrend. The 1D timeframe is choppy/sideways, which adds uncertainty. Key levels to watch: resistance at 81971.00 and support at 62535.24. A break below support would confirm continuation, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators (STOCHF, DEMA, MAMA, HT PHASOR) firing simultaneously.
▼ Strong trend scores on 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes.
▼ Bearish candlestick pattern (Spinning Top) adds confirmation.
▼ Price is below key moving averages (ALMA/DEMA break down).

Risk Factors

▲ Daily timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to range-bound action rather than a sustained drop.
▲ AO Saucer Bullish hints at possible bullish momentum divergence, which may precede a bounce.
▲ A break above resistance at 81971.00 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Short-term bullish trend on 15m/30m could extend and cause a temporary pullback.