BTC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.36 %

Entry

74,852.67

Target

81,196.01 +8.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

73,279.25 −2.10 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,155 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,155 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.60 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 21 % at stop avg −3.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Up, RSX OS Entry, Long Legged Doji +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 91 % (12.85) ▼ Bearish 9 % (1.29)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 43.8 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 4,470 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 7h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 7h
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 04:03 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.14
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.13
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.23
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.14
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.07
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	0.87

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish candlestick patterns and oversold indicators suggest a possible short-term bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
The signal is weak (55% probability) and conflicts with the bearish trend across most timeframes.
Watch the nearest resistance at 81196.01; a break above could signal a shift, while rejection keeps the bearish bias intact.
No clear support level is defined, increasing uncertainty for downside scenarios.

The 4H chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a Bullish Harami Cross and a Long Legged Doji, alongside oversold readings from CTI and RSX, and a BOP Zero Cross Up. However, the MACD Signal Cross Down and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicate that momentum remains negative, and the overall trend across timeframes is bearish, with solid bearish trends on the 2H through 12H charts. The 1D timeframe is choppy and sideways, suggesting that the higher-timeframe bearish pressure may limit upside potential.

Given the weak signal strength (55% probability) and the bearish alignment across most timeframes, this signal is best interpreted as a potential short-term bounce or a counter-trend pullback rather than a reversal. The nearest resistance at 81196.01 is a key level to watch; a break above it could signal a shift in momentum, while failure to hold any bounce could lead to further downside. The lack of a defined support level adds uncertainty, as there is no clear floor to gauge invalidation.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami Cross, Long Legged Doji) on the 4H chart.
▲ Oversold conditions indicated by CTI and RSX, which could fuel a technical rebound.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up suggests improving buying pressure, potentially supporting a short-term bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The bearish trend across multiple timeframes (2H to 12H) argues against a sustained reversal.
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicate persistent bearish momentum.
▼ The signal's weak strength (55%) and the absence of a defined support level increase the risk of a failed bounce.
▼ A break below recent lows would invalidate the bullish setup and likely extend the downtrend.