EUR/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 6× UPDATED

2026-11-08 22:00 UTC 16 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.34 %

Entry

176.453

Target

178.482 +1.15 %

closes in profit

Stop

175.073 −0.78 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 8 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,035 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,035 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

21 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SAR Flip Bullish, BOP Zero Cross Up, QSTICK Zero Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 90 % (29.56) ▼ Bearish 10 % (3.41)

model score 89.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 1,018 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 7h
23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 7h
23:50TodayJPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.14
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.95
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.37
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.35
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.33
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.23
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.07
▲	Bullish Meeting Lines	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 2H chart suggest a potential short-term bounce within a broader bearish trend.
Key resistance at 178.48200 and support at 175.07300 define the trading range.
The signal is moderate strength, so expect limited upside unless resistance is broken.
Higher timeframes remain bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend opportunity.

The EUR/JPY 2H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, SAR Flip Bullish, and multiple moving-average retreats (MAMA, T3, ALMA, HMA), alongside a StochRSI KD Cross Down and an ER Level Cross Down. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent bearish momentum is losing steam and that a counter-trend bounce may be developing from the lower end of the range. The confluence of these signals on the 2H timeframe points to a potential shift in intraday sentiment, even though the broader trend across higher timeframes remains bearish.

However, the trend alignment is mixed: while the 2H and lower timeframes show bearish trends, the 2H signal is bullish, indicating a potential short-term reversal. The nearest resistance at 178.48200 is a key upside target, while support at 175.07300 is the critical level to watch. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish reversal, but failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal. Given the moderate strength and the bearish higher-timeframe context, traders should approach this as a tactical long within a larger downtrend, with tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators (BOP, SAR, moving-average retreats) align on the 2H timeframe.
▲ The StochRSI KD Cross Down indicates oversold conditions that could fuel a bounce.
▲ The ER Level Cross Down suggests a shift in market efficiency that may favor a reversal.
▲ The 2H trend score (3/5) shows solid bearish momentum, but the signal's confluence may overcome it.

Risk Factors

▼ The overall trend across all timeframes is bearish, which could overpower the bullish signal.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 175.07300 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The signal is moderate strength, so momentum may fade quickly if resistance is not tested soon.
▼ Conflicting signals on lower timeframes (15m, 30m) could lead to choppy price action.