EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-09 09:00 UTC 18 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

176.746

Target

176.234 +0.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

177.990 −0.70 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 20 % (4.20) ▼ Bearish 80 % (16.82)

model score 80.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 13h
23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 13h
23:50TodayJPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 14h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 09:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.43
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.04
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.97
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.77
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.66
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	0.82

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30M chart: Aroon, Stoch F, Williams %R, and EMA/SMA 200 all point down.
Higher timeframes (1H, 2H) are solidly bearish, supporting the sell bias.
Watch 176.97600 as resistance; a break above it would invalidate the bearish signal.
Immediate support at 176.23400; a break below could accelerate the downtrend.

The 30-minute EUR/JPY chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by Aroon's Strong Downtrend and confirmed by momentum oscillators (Stoch F KD Cross Down, Williams %R OB Exit) and the EMA 200 Retreat Down. The BOP Zero Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down add selling-pressure confirmation, while the CTI OB Entry flags an overbought condition ripe for a reversal. This confluence suggests the pair is attempting to roll over from an overextended position, with sellers actively defending the 176.97600 resistance zone.

Across higher timeframes, the bearish bias is reinforced: the 1-hour and 2-hour charts show solid downtrends (3/5), while the 4-hour through daily charts are all in trend-forming bearish phases (2/5). The 30-minute trend is still bullish but only at 2/5, indicating a fragile uptrend that is likely to give way to the dominant bearish pressure. The immediate downside target is the 176.23400 support, and a break below that level would confirm the shift. Conversely, a reclaim of 176.97600 would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest the pullback is over.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (Stoch F, Williams %R, BOP) align bearish, confirming selling pressure.
▼ EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreat down indicate the longer-term moving averages are turning lower, reinforcing the bearish trend.
▼ The 1H and 2H charts show solid downtrends (3/5), providing a strong higher-timeframe tailwind.
▼ The CTI overbought entry suggests the market was stretched to the upside, increasing the likelihood of a reversal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30M trend is still bullish (2/5), so the immediate momentum could stall or reverse if buyers defend the 176.23400 support.
▲ The 15M chart is bullish and choppy, which could lead to short-term bounces against the sell signal.
▲ If price reclaims 176.97600, the bearish setup would be invalidated, and the pair could resume its uptrend.
▲ The overall trend strength is only moderate (2/5) on most timeframes, so the bearish move may lack the conviction for a sustained drop.