EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-08 23:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.22 %

Entry

1.11471

Target

1.12348 +0.79 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.10958 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Falling Wedge, STOCHF KD Cross Up, ALMA Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.1 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 16.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 615 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

09:00TomorrowEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 16h
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 20h
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 20h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Falling Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.80
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.46
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.44
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.41
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.37
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish reversal signals on the 30-minute chart, but the higher timeframe trend is bearish.
Falling Wedge and Bullish Spinning Top suggest potential short-term upside.
Key resistance at 1.12348; a break above could signal a stronger reversal.
Support at 1.11309 is the invalidation level for the bullish setup.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Falling Wedge pattern, a Bullish Spinning Top candlestick, and multiple indicator crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, ALMA Retreat Up). These signals together suggest a potential bullish reversal or a counter-trend bounce within a broader bearish trend. The Falling Wedge, a classic bullish reversal pattern, combined with the bullish candlestick and momentum indicators turning up, points to short-term buying pressure. However, the higher timeframes (30m and above) remain bearish, with solid trends on the 30m, 1h, and 1d charts. This creates a conflict: the immediate momentum is bullish, but the larger trend is down. The key resistance to watch is 1.12348; a break above this level could confirm a more meaningful reversal, while the nearest support at 1.11309 is the critical level to hold for the bullish scenario to remain valid. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a bearish context, using tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, ALMA) are all turning up, showing strong short-term momentum.
▲ The Falling Wedge pattern is a classic bullish reversal signal, adding confluence to the candlestick and indicator signals.
▲ The bullish signals are firing simultaneously, increasing the probability of a short-term bounce.
▲ The 15-minute trend is already turning bullish, suggesting early momentum shift.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (30m, 1h, 1d) are all bearish, so the bullish move could be a counter-trend bounce that fades.
▼ If price breaks below support at 1.11309, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ The bearish trend on the 1-day chart is solid, which could limit upside potential.
▼ The 12-hour trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction that could lead to false signals.