USD/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 20:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.50 %

Entry

1.41185

Target

1.39296 +1.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.43000 −1.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,109 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,109 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.43 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Momentum Hidden Bear Div, MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div, DEMA Break Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.2 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 16.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 628 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

17:00TodayUSDEIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change●●○Forecast 0.016MPrevious 0.280Min 14m
17:00TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 14m
18:00TodayUSD30-Year Bond Auction●●○in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Momentum Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.96
▼	MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.55
▲	SMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross	indicator	2.51
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.35
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.04

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal on the 2H chart, driven by multiple indicator crossovers and hidden bearish divergences.
The broader trend across higher timeframes remains bullish, so the sell signal likely represents a correction within the larger uptrend.
Key support at 1.39296 is the immediate downside target; a break below could open further downside.
Watch for a rebound near support to confirm the bullish trend remains intact.

The 2H USD/CAD signal array is overwhelmingly bearish, with a very strong probability of 87%. The confluence of multiple indicator-based signals—STOCH KD Cross Down, DEMA Break Down, TEMA Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, and SMA Cross 50/200 Golden Cross—points to a robust short-term momentum shift. Notably, the presence of hidden bearish divergences on both MACD Histogram and Momentum indicates that while price may be making higher lows on the 2H chart, underlying momentum is weakening, often a precursor to a trend reversal or a deeper pullback.

However, this bearish signal on the 2H timeframe stands in contrast to the broader bullish trend observed across higher timeframes (1H, 4H, and daily), where solid trends persist. This suggests the sell signal may represent a corrective move within a larger uptrend rather than a full trend reversal. The nearest support at 1.39296 is the critical level to watch; a break below it could signal a deeper correction, while holding above it might see the pair resume its bullish bias. The nearest resistance at 1.41376 serves as the immediate upside barrier.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (STOCH, DEMA, TEMA, HMA) all pointing to a momentum shift.
▼ Hidden bearish divergences on MACD and Momentum suggest weakening upside momentum despite higher price lows.
▼ Strong signal probability (87%) and very strong strength rating increase confidence in the bearish move.
▼ The 2H bearish signal aligns with the 15m trend, which is also bearish, reinforcing the short-term direction.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend on higher timeframes (1H, 4H, daily) could override the 2H bearish signal, leading to a quick reversal.
▲ If the price holds above the nearest support at 1.39296, the sell signal may fail and the pair could resume its uptrend.
▲ Momentum divergences can persist for extended periods, and the pair may consolidate before moving lower.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.41376 would invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a resumption of the bullish trend.