USD/CHF – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 08:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.37 %

Entry

0.81824

Target

0.82125 +0.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.81326 −0.61 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat, KDJ OS Exit +7 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,066 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 12h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 12h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 14h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	2.19
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	2.05
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.93
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.92
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.71
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.58
▲	ULTOSC OS Exit	indicator	1.22
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum is building on the 30-minute chart with multiple oversold exits and crossovers.
The broader trend remains bearish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce.
Watch the resistance at 0.82125; a break above could extend the rally, while support at 0.81728 is the key invalidation level.
The signal is strong (89% probability) but may be short-lived given the bearish higher timeframe context.

The USD/CHF 30-minute chart is firing a cluster of bullish reversal signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI and KDJ crosses up, and exits from oversold conditions on ULTOSC, WILLR, and KDJ. These indicators collectively suggest that selling pressure is waning and momentum is shifting to the upside. The SMA 200 Retreat Up and HMA Retreat Up further support a bullish turn, while the Ichimoku TK Cross Down (which is a bullish signal in this context) adds to the confluence. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 15-minute and 8-hour charts showing solid downtrends. This creates a conflicting picture: the short-term momentum is turning bullish, but the larger trend is still pointing down. The immediate focus is on the nearest resistance at 0.82125; a break above this level could signal a stronger reversal, while the nearest support at 0.81728 is the key level to watch for invalidation if the bullish momentum fails.

Given the high probability (89%) and very strong strength of the signal, the bullish case is compelling on the 30-minute timeframe. However, traders should be cautious about the bearish higher timeframes, which may limit upside potential. The signal appears to be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, so it may be best suited for short-term scalping or day trading rather than longer-term positions. The key levels to monitor are the resistance at 0.82125 and support at 0.81728. A sustained move above resistance could shift the short-term trend to bullish, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple oscillator signals (BOP, STOCHRSI, ULTOSC, WILLR, KDJ) all turning bullish.
▲ Moving average retreats (SMA 200 and HMA) suggest the pullback is losing steam.
▲ Ichimoku TK Cross Down adds to the bullish reversal case.
▲ High signal strength (very strong) and probability (89%) increase confidence in the move.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes are bearish, so the bounce could be capped by the larger downtrend.
▼ Immediate resistance at 0.82125 is nearby and could halt the rally.
▼ If the price breaks below support at 0.81728, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ Momentum may fade if the 30-minute chart fails to hold above the recent lows.