USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-09 15:30 UTC 5 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

0.82223

Target

0.81742 +0.58 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.82621 −0.48 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 13 % (1.13) ▼ Bearish 87 % (7.71)

model score 87.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 14.0 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 15.6 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 769 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 1h
13:30TomorrowUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 21h
13:30TomorrowUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 21h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.40
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.13
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.85
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.67

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart points to a potential short-term reversal.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal, but lower timeframes are still bullish, creating a mixed picture.
The key support level to watch is 0.81742; a break below would confirm the bearish move.
The signal is very strong (87% probability), but the conflicting trend across timeframes warrants caution.

The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and a ZSCORE Extreme High Exit. These are complemented by a Bearish Harami and a Spinning Top candlestick pattern, reinforcing the bearish momentum. The confluence of indicator and candlestick signals suggests a short-term reversal is underway, with the market likely to retrace recent gains.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is mixed but leans bearish. The 4H and 8H timeframes show a bearish trend forming and a solid trend, respectively, while the 12H and 1D are also bearish. However, the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H, 2H) are still bullish, indicating that the immediate trend is against the signal. This divergence suggests that the bearish signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger bullish correction. The nearest support is at 0.81742, which is a key level to watch. If the price breaks below this, the bearish case strengthens; otherwise, the signal could be a false breakdown.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (APO, BOP, STOCHF, HMA, ZSCORE) all pointing bearish.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami, Spinning Top) add weight to the reversal case.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H) are bearish, supporting the directional bias.
▼ The ZSCORE extreme high exit suggests the price was overextended and is due for a pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H, 2H) are still bullish, which could mean the sell signal is a counter-trend move that may fail.
▲ The nearest support at 0.81742 is nearby; if it holds, the bearish move may stall and reverse.
▲ The 1H and 2H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear momentum that could undermine the signal.
▲ If the price breaks above the recent high, the bearish setup would be invalidated.