USD/CHF – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 18:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −1.44 %

Entry

0.81943

Target

0.81274 +0.82 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83127 −1.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 665 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 665 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.46 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, VIDYA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

17:00TodayUSDEIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change●●○Forecast 0.016MPrevious 0.280Min 14m
17:00TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 14m
18:00TodayUSD30-Year Bond Auction●●○in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.54
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.31
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.98
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.11

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong cluster of bearish indicators on the 4H chart points to continued downside pressure.
All timeframes are bearish, but trend strength is weak, suggesting a choppy or forming downtrend.
Watch the nearest support at 0.81274 as the immediate downside target; a break below could extend the move.
The nearest resistance at 0.83127 is the key level to monitor for invalidation of the bearish signal.

The USD/CHF 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, and CTI OB Exit. This suggests that momentum, volatility, and trend indicators are all aligning to the downside after a period of overbought conditions. The confluence of these signals points to a potential continuation of the bearish move, with the nearest support at 0.81274 serving as the primary downside target.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, though the strength scores are low (1-2 out of 5) across all horizons, indicating a choppy or forming trend rather than a strong, established downtrend. The 4H and 8H timeframes show a trend forming, which supports the signal, but the 1H and 1D are choppy/sideways, suggesting that the move may lack momentum. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.83127, which could act as a barrier to further downside if price retraces, and the nearest support at 0.81274, which is the immediate target. A break below support could open the door to more downside, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, WILLR, CTI) confirm that buying momentum has faded.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate a shift in flow and momentum to the downside.
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down show that price is pulling back from upper Bollinger Band and below the 200 EMA, aligning with the bearish trend.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, even if weak, supports the direction of the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Weak trend strength scores (1-2/5) across timeframes suggest the downtrend may be fragile and prone to reversals.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 1H and 1D timeframes could lead to false breakouts or range-bound trading.
▲ A move back above the nearest resistance at 0.83127 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The high number of signals could indicate an overextended move, increasing the risk of a corrective bounce.