USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 14:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.01 %

Entry

158.089

Target

158.543 +0.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.255 −0.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,802 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish, WILLR OS Exit +10 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 718 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 4h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 4h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.19
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	2.17
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.98
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.72
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.45
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.44
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.43
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.10
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.09
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.05

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum cluster on 1H suggests a potential bounce from oversold conditions.
Higher timeframes remain bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend trade with defined risk.
Watch 158.543 resistance for confirmation and 157.255 support as invalidation.
The 15m bullish trend is the only higher-timeframe support, so monitor its strength.

The USD/JPY 1H signal has fired a strong bullish cluster (91% probability) driven by a broad set of oscillators and trend indicators: BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, and KDJ Cross Up, among others. These signals collectively suggest that short-term selling pressure has exhausted and momentum is turning upward from oversold conditions. The presence of a Fibonacci group and candlestick patterns adds confluence, pointing to a potential bounce off the nearest support at 157.255. However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish and choppy, with only the 15m showing a forming bullish trend. This creates a conflict: the 1H signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, so its durability is questionable unless price can reclaim key resistance levels.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.543 and support at 157.255. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal and potentially shift the higher-timeframe bias, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader bearish trend. Given the weak trend scores on higher timeframes (1/5 on most), the signal should be treated as a tactical long with tight risk management rather than a trend-following entry. Traders should monitor whether momentum can sustain above the 1H moving averages and whether the 15m and 30m trends strengthen to support the move.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (CCI, WILLR, STOCH, KDJ) exiting oversold territory align for a bullish push.
▲ BOP and ERI zero cross ups indicate improving buying pressure and trend momentum.
▲ Fibonacci and candlestick patterns add confluence to the support zone near 157.255.
▲ Very strong signal strength (91%) increases the likelihood of an initial move higher.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H and above) are bearish, so the bounce may be short-lived.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes could lead to false breakouts.
▼ A break below 157.255 support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ Momentum may fade if the 15m trend fails to strengthen, leaving the pair range-bound.