USD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 14:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.24 %

Entry

158.157

Target

158.543 +0.24 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.255 −0.57 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,109 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,109 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.43 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Up, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish, EMA 200 Retreat Up +15 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 718 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 4h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 4h
15:00TodayUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.36
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	2.27
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.09
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	2.08
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.99
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.91
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.91
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.56
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.55
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.47
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.38
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.17
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.13
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.10

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum cluster on the 2H chart, but higher timeframes are bearish—treat as a counter-trend bounce.
Key resistance at 158.543; a break above could signal further upside, while support at 157.255 is the invalidation level.
Oscillators (RSI, CCI, CMO, STOCHF) are all turning up from oversold, aligning with the bullish signal.
Trend scores are weak on higher timeframes, so expect choppy price action and limited follow-through.

The USD/JPY 2H signal is a strong bullish trigger (81% probability) driven by a dense cluster of momentum oscillators turning up from oversold conditions. The Aroon Cross Down and AroonOSC Zero Cross Down indicate that the prior downtrend is losing force, while the BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, and STOCHF KD Cross Up all point to renewed buying pressure. Together, these signals suggest a potential short-term reversal, but the higher timeframes remain bearish and choppy, so this is best viewed as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.

Trend alignment is mixed: the 15m and 30m are turning bullish, but the 1H through 1D are all bearish and sideways, which limits the upside potential. The nearest resistance at 158.543 is the key hurdle; a break above it could open the door for further gains, while the support at 157.255 acts as the invalidation zone. Traders should watch for momentum to sustain above the RSI midline and for price to hold above the 2H support, as a failure to do so would negate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (RSI, CCI, CMO, STOCHF) are exiting oversold conditions simultaneously, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
▲ Aroon cross down signals that the prior downtrend is decelerating, supporting a reversal attempt.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are already turning bullish, providing a short-term tailwind.
▲ The signal has a high probability score (81%) and strong strength, indicating high confluence among indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1H through 1D timeframes are all bearish, which could cap upside and lead to a failed bounce.
▼ If price fails to hold above the 157.255 support, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Momentum could fade quickly in a choppy, sideways environment, especially with weak trend scores (1/5) on higher timeframes.
▼ The nearest resistance at 158.543 is a major hurdle; a rejection there would confirm the larger downtrend.