USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 01:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.12 %

Entry

158.236

Target

158.674 +0.28 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.690 −0.35 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,066 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 17h
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 17h
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 19h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.90
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	2.05
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.93
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.61
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.37
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.16

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the overall trend is bearish across all timeframes.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 158.543 and support at 157.998; a break below support invalidates the bullish setup.
The signal is a counter-trend move within a strong downtrend, so expect limited upside and potential resistance near 158.543.
Multiple oscillators (WILLR, STOCHF) exiting oversold conditions and a trendline break up add confluence to the bullish case.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal fires a bullish BUY with strong probability (75%) and strong strength, driven by a cluster of technical events: a Trendline Break Up, multiple AROON signals (Cross Down, Strong Downtrend, and Zero Cross Down), a BOP Zero Cross Up, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, a WILLR OS Exit, and an EMA 200 Retreat Up, among others. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent bearish momentum is exhausting and that a short-term reversal or bounce is underway. However, the broader trend context is firmly bearish and choppy across all timeframes (15m to 1d), each scoring only 1/5 in trend strength. This means the bullish signal is a counter-trend move within a dominant downtrend, likely a corrective bounce rather than a trend reversal.

The alignment of signals points to a potential move toward the nearest resistance at 158.543, with the nearest support at 157.998 acting as a critical floor. The confluence of the trendline break and oscillator exits from oversold conditions (WILLR OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up) supports a near-term upward push. Yet, traders must be cautious: the overwhelming bearish trend across all higher timeframes suggests that any rally could be limited and may face strong selling pressure near resistance. The invalidation level for this bullish setup is a break below the support at 157.998, which would negate the bounce and likely resume the broader downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Trendline Break Up and multiple AROON signals indicate a shift in short-term momentum from bearish to bullish.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up suggest increasing buying pressure and bullish momentum.
▲ WILLR OS Exit and EMA 200 Retreat Up point to a reversal from oversold conditions and a potential bounce.
▲ The cluster of signals across indicator, trendline, and candlestick groups provides strong confluence for a near-term rally.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes (15m to 1d) could overpower the short-term bullish bounce.
▼ Resistance at 158.543 may cap gains, and a failure to break above it could lead to a reversal.
▼ A break below support at 157.998 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ The choppy, sideways nature of the market (1/5 trend scores) suggests low trend strength, making the move less reliable.