AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.86 %
Entry
0.69139
Target
0.68542 +0.86 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.70246 −1.60 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,802 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down, SAR Flip Bearish +6 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSD30-Year Bond Auction●●○in 10m
  • TodayUSDFederal Budget Balance●●○Forecast -$324.2BPrevious -$26.9Bin 1h
  • TomorrowUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 19h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 85%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.00
▼ T3 Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ SAR Flip Bearish indicator 1.51
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.40
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.36
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.36
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.11
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.52

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish indicators on the 1H chart align for a sell signal.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) support the bearish bias, but lower timeframes show conflicting bullish trends.
  • Watch the nearest support at 0.68542 for a potential breakdown, and resistance at 0.70246 as the invalidation zone.
  • Trend strength is weak across most timeframes, so the move may lack momentum.
The AUD/USD 1H signal has fired a cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, SAR Flip Bearish, and multiple moving average retreats (T3, ALMA, HMA), alongside an AO Saucer Bearish and ER Level Cross Down. The DX Trend Weak reading suggests the prevailing trend lacks strong directional momentum, yet the confluence of these signals points to a short-term bearish push. The candlestick group adds further weight, reinforcing the sell bias on the 1H timeframe.

Across higher timeframes, the 4H and 8H charts are in solid bearish trends (3/5 strength), aligning with the 1H sell signal, while the 15M, 12H, and 1D are also bearish but still forming. However, the 30M, 1H, and 2H timeframes show a conflicting bullish trend, which could limit downside follow-through. Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.70246 and support at 0.68542. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of bearish signals across indicator and candlestick groups.
  • ▼ Solid bearish trends on the 4H and 8H timeframes provide higher-timeframe alignment.
  • ▼ AO Saucer Bearish and SAR Flip Bearish indicate a shift in momentum and trend direction.
  • ▼ Multiple moving average retreats (T3, ALMA, HMA) confirm downward price action.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Conflicting bullish trends on the 30M, 1H, and 2H timeframes could stall the bearish move.
  • ▲ Weak trend strength (DX Trend Weak) suggests the market may be range-bound, reducing follow-through.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.70246 would invalidate the sell signal.
  • ▲ The 15M timeframe is only a forming trend (2/5), so the immediate momentum may be unreliable.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 85%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-10 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70246 2026-11-05
R2 0.70431 2026-10-30
R3 0.70680 2026-10-29
S1 0.68542 2026-11-06

Tags

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